StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Elvina Kalieva v Kayla Day

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-14 18:10 UTC

Endstand: Elvina Kalieva 0–2 Kayla Day

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Elvina Kalieva (Heim)

Prognose 40.22%2.49faire Quote
EV +1.76%
Vorteil +0.694%
Kelly +1.15%
Wachstum +0.020%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.53

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
37.68%40.34%40.10%42.07%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.182.352.372.5345.87%42.55%42.19%39.53%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Kayla Day (Auswärts)

Prognose 59.78%1.67faire Quote
EV -0.168%
Vorteil -0.100%
Kelly -0.250%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.67

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
57.93%59.66%59.90%62.32%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.501.571.571.6766.67%63.50%63.69%59.88%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Elvina Kalieva (Heim): 40.22%; Kayla Day (Auswärts): 59.78%. Für Elvina Kalieva (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.49. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.53 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.76%.

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
GTbets🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV +1.76%E +0.694%K +1.15%G +0.020%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -8.54%E -5.58%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 13:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -1.46%E -0.596%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-14 17:20
Pinnacle🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.67%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-14 17:01
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 17:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 17:20
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 17:25
ReBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 17:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 17:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 17:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 15:01
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 17:55
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 17:55
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 17:55
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 17:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 17:55
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 17:55
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 17:55
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 17:55
Bally Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 17:56
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 17:55
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.28%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 17:59
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.28%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 14:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.28%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 18:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.28%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 17:50
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.28%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.54%E -5.58%K -16.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 17:50
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.28%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.54%E -5.58%K -16.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 17:50
Betsson🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 17:20
DraftKings🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 18:00
SportsBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.39%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.61%EV -7.94%E -5.16%K -14.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 17:50
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.75%E -2.33%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 17:55
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 17:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 17:55
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 16:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.13%E -6.01%K -17.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 14:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -10.33%E -6.89%K -20.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-14 17:20
Bet Right🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.89%E -2.51%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 17:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -6.29%E -2.70%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -9.73%E -6.45%K -19.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 17:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -0.168%E -0.100%K -0.250%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-14 18:06
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -0.168%E -0.100%K -0.250%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-14 18:06
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 15:00
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 16:40
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 18:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.75%E -2.33%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 16:40
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.75%E -2.33%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 16:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.75%E -2.33%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 16:40
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.75%E -2.33%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 14:55
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 14:50
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 14:50
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-14 14:50
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 18:08
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 18:06
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.54%E -5.58%K -16.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 17:50
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.54%E -5.58%K -16.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 18:03
NetBet (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.11%EV -8.70%E -3.83%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.89%EV -9.13%E -6.01%K -17.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-14 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 14:55
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-14 14:55
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-14 14:55
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-14 18:08
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.40%EV -12.32%E -5.65%K -10.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.60%EV -7.94%E -5.16%K -14.70%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-14 18:08
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Novig◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-09-14 18:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-09-14 18:06
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-09-14 18:06
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-09-14 18:06
Matchbook◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-09-14 18:06
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-09-14 18:06