Idioma:Español
Elvina Kalieva v Kayla Day
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Elvina Kalieva (Local)
Predicción 40.22%2.49momio equitativo
EV +1.76%
Ventaja +0.694%
Kelly +1.15%
Crecimiento +0.020%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.68%40.34%40.10%42.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.182.352.372.5345.87%42.55%42.19%39.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Kayla Day (Visitante)
Predicción 59.78%1.67momio equitativo
EV -0.168%
Ventaja -0.100%
Kelly -0.250%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.93%59.66%59.90%62.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.571.571.6766.67%63.50%63.69%59.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Elvina Kalieva (Local): 40.22%; Kayla Day (Visitante): 59.78%. Para Elvina Kalieva (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.49. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.53, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.76%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV +1.76%E +0.694%K +1.15%G +0.020% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -8.54%E -5.58%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-13 13:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -1.46%E -0.596%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-14 17:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.67%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-14 17:01 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-14 17:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-14 17:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-14 17:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-14 17:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 15:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 17:56 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.28%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-14 17:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.28%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-14 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.28%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-14 18:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.28%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-14 17:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.28%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.54%E -5.58%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-14 17:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.28%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.54%E -5.58%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-14 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-14 17:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-14 18:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.39%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.61%EV -7.94%E -5.16%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 17:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.75%E -2.33%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-14 17:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.13%E -6.01%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-14 14:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -10.33%E -6.89%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-14 17:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.89%E -2.51%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -6.29%E -2.70%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -9.73%E -6.45%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -0.168%E -0.100%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-14 18:06 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -0.168%E -0.100%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-14 18:06 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-14 15:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.75%E -2.33%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.75%E -2.33%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.75%E -2.33%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.75%E -2.33%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-14 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-14 14:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-14 14:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-14 14:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 18:08 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 18:06 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.54%E -5.58%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 17:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.54%E -5.58%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 18:03 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.11%EV -8.70%E -3.83%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.89%EV -9.13%E -6.01%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 14:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-14 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-14 14:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-14 18:08 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.40%EV -12.32%E -5.65%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.60%EV -7.94%E -5.16%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-14 18:08 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-09-14 18:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-09-14 18:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-09-14 18:06 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-09-14 18:06 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-09-14 18:06 |