Language:English
Elsa Jacquemot v Liudmila Samsonova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Elsa Jacquemot (Local)
Prediction 21.93%4.56fair odd
EV +0.867%
Edge +0.189%
Kelly +0.241%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.77%22.01%21.93%24.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.184.154.6026.32%23.92%24.10%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Liudmila Samsonova (Visit)
Prediction 78.07%1.28fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -9.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.85%77.99%78.07%79.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.221.221.2586.96%82.19%81.97%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elsa Jacquemot (Local): 21.93%; Liudmila Samsonova (Visit): 78.07%. For Elsa Jacquemot (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.56. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.867%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%EV +0.867%E +0.189%K +0.241%G +0.002% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +0.867%E +0.189%K +0.241%G +0.002% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -0.448%E -0.099%K -0.127%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-15 00:26 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.39%EV -0.887%E -0.196%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.61%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-14 22:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.25%EV -0.887%E -0.196%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.75%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.25%EV -0.887%E -0.196%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.75%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.33%E -0.295%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-15 00:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.33%E -0.295%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-14 16:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -1.33%E -0.295%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.87%E -6.67%K -43.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-15 00:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.52%E -0.800%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.52%E -0.800%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-15 00:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.52%E -0.800%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.66%E -7.40%K -50.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-14 23:36 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.39I 22.78%NM 22.16%EV -3.74%E -0.851%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.84%EV -2.41%E -1.93%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-15 00:16 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.36I 22.94%NM 21.86%EV -4.40%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.14%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-15 00:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -4.61%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-15 00:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.61%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-15 00:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.05%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-14 19:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -5.71%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.71%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.71%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -5.71%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -8.66%E -7.40%K -50.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-14 16:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -5.71%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -8.66%E -7.40%K -50.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-15 00:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-15 00:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-15 00:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 19:51 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 00:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 00:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.90%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -7.90%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.87%E -6.67%K -43.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-14 19:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -7.90%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.87%E -6.67%K -43.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-14 19:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -7.90%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -9.44%E -8.13%K -58.98%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -9.00%E -2.17%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-15 00:06 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.10%EV -10.22%E -8.88%K -68.11%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-15 00:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.41%E -1.93%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.41%E -1.93%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.41%E -1.93%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.41%E -1.93%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 14:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 14:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 14:21 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 14:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 14:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 14:21 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-15 00:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 14:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 19:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 19:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-15 00:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-14 19:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-14 19:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -8.66%E -7.40%K -50.91%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-14 16:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -8.66%E -7.40%K -50.91%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-14 16:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -16.67%E -4.39%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 14:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 0.2% | 2026-09-15 00:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 0.2% | 2026-09-15 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 0.2% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 0.2% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| Novig◎ | 4.44I 22.52%NM 22.24% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.76% | 1.3% | 2026-09-15 00:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 1.4% | 2026-09-15 00:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34% | 2.6% | 2026-09-15 00:06 |