Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Elsa Jacquemot v Liudmila Samsonova

Inizio: 2026-09-15 00:34 UTC

Finale: Elsa Jacquemot 0–2 Liudmila Samsonova

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

63 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Elsa Jacquemot (Casa)

Previsione 21.93%4.56quota equa
EV +0.867%
Vantaggio +0.189%
Kelly +0.241%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.77%22.01%21.93%24.15%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.804.184.154.6026.32%23.92%24.10%21.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Liudmila Samsonova (Trasferta)

Previsione 78.07%1.28quota equa
EV -2.41%
Vantaggio -1.93%
Kelly -9.64%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
75.85%77.99%78.07%79.23%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.151.221.221.2586.96%82.19%81.97%80.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Elsa Jacquemot (Casa): 21.93%; Liudmila Samsonova (Trasferta): 78.07%. Per Elsa Jacquemot (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.56. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.60, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.867%.

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%EV +0.867%E +0.189%K +0.241%G +0.002%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-15 00:05
Winamax (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +0.867%E +0.189%K +0.241%G +0.002%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-15 00:05
1xBet🎯4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -0.448%E -0.099%K -0.127%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 00:26
GTbets🎯4.52I 22.12%NM 21.39%EV -0.887%E -0.196%K -0.252%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.61%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-14 22:00
LowVig.ag🎯4.52I 22.12%NM 21.25%EV -0.887%E -0.196%K -0.252%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.75%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 00:05
BetOnline.ag🎯4.52I 22.12%NM 21.25%EV -0.887%E -0.196%K -0.252%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.75%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 00:05
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.33%E -0.295%K -0.379%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 00:29
FanDuel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.33%E -0.295%K -0.379%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 16:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -1.33%E -0.295%K -0.379%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.87%E -6.67%K -43.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 00:25
ReBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.52%E -0.800%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 00:05
Unibet (UK)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.52%E -0.800%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 00:30
Tipico (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.52%E -0.800%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.66%E -7.40%K -50.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 23:36
Pinnacle🎯4.39I 22.78%NM 22.16%EV -3.74%E -0.851%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.84%EV -2.41%E -1.93%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-15 00:16
DraftKings🎯4.36I 22.94%NM 21.86%EV -4.40%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.14%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-15 00:29
Marathon Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -4.61%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 00:30
LeoVegas🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.61%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 00:29
BetMGM🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.05%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 19:45
BetAnything🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -5.71%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 00:05
Fanatics🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.71%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 00:05
Winamax (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.71%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 00:05
SportsBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -5.71%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -8.66%E -7.40%K -50.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 16:10
Fliff🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -5.71%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -8.66%E -7.40%K -50.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 00:30
Bet Right🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 00:25
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 00:00
theScore Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 19:51
Betsson🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 00:30
NordicBet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 00:30
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.90%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 23:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -7.90%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.87%E -6.67%K -43.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-14 19:45
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -7.90%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.87%E -6.67%K -43.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-14 19:45
NetBet (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -7.90%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -9.44%E -8.13%K -58.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-15 00:05
Betr (AU)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -9.00%E -2.17%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-15 00:06
Betclic (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 78.10%EV -10.22%E -8.88%K -68.11%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 00:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.41%E -1.93%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 00:05
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.41%E -1.93%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 00:05
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.41%E -1.93%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 00:05
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.41%E -1.93%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 00:05
Virgin Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:20
Casumo🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:20
Grosvenor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:21
BetRivers🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:20
TABtouch🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:20
Unibet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:20
betPARX🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:20
Bally Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:21
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 00:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:55
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 19:45
Neds🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 19:45
TAB🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 00:15
betano_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 19:48
Bet Victor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 19:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 21:05
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -8.66%E -7.40%K -50.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-14 16:10
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -8.66%E -7.40%K -50.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-14 16:10
PMU (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -16.67%E -4.39%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 14:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%0.2%2026-09-15 00:06
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%0.2%2026-09-15 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%0.2%2026-09-15 00:05
Matchbook◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%0.2%2026-09-15 00:05
Novig◎4.44I 22.52%NM 22.24%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.76%1.3%2026-09-15 00:30
ProphetX◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%1.4%2026-09-15 00:30
Smarkets◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%2.6%2026-09-15 00:06