Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Elsa Jacquemot v Liudmila Samsonova

Início: 2026-09-15 00:34 UTC

Final: Elsa Jacquemot 0–2 Liudmila Samsonova

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Elsa Jacquemot (Local)

Previsão 21.93%4.56odd justa
EV +0.867%
Vantagem +0.189%
Kelly +0.241%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.77%22.01%21.93%24.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.804.184.154.6026.32%23.92%24.10%21.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Liudmila Samsonova (Visitante)

Previsão 78.07%1.28odd justa
EV -2.41%
Vantagem -1.93%
Kelly -9.64%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
75.85%77.99%78.07%79.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.151.221.221.2586.96%82.19%81.97%80.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Elsa Jacquemot (Local): 21.93%; Liudmila Samsonova (Visitante): 78.07%. Para Elsa Jacquemot (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.56. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.60, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.867%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Unibet (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%EV +0.867%E +0.189%K +0.241%G +0.002%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-15 00:05
Winamax (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +0.867%E +0.189%K +0.241%G +0.002%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-15 00:05
1xBet🎯4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -0.448%E -0.099%K -0.127%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 00:26
GTbets🎯4.52I 22.12%NM 21.39%EV -0.887%E -0.196%K -0.252%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.61%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-14 22:00
LowVig.ag🎯4.52I 22.12%NM 21.25%EV -0.887%E -0.196%K -0.252%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.75%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 00:05
BetOnline.ag🎯4.52I 22.12%NM 21.25%EV -0.887%E -0.196%K -0.252%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.75%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 00:05
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.33%E -0.295%K -0.379%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 00:29
FanDuel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.33%E -0.295%K -0.379%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 16:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -1.33%E -0.295%K -0.379%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.87%E -6.67%K -43.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 00:25
ReBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.52%E -0.800%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 00:05
Unibet (UK)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.52%E -0.800%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 00:30
Tipico (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.52%E -0.800%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.66%E -7.40%K -50.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 23:36
Pinnacle🎯4.39I 22.78%NM 22.16%EV -3.74%E -0.851%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.84%EV -2.41%E -1.93%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-15 00:16
DraftKings🎯4.36I 22.94%NM 21.86%EV -4.40%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.14%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-15 00:29
Marathon Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -4.61%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 00:30
LeoVegas🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.61%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 00:29
BetMGM🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.05%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 19:45
BetAnything🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -5.71%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 00:05
Fanatics🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.71%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 00:05
Winamax (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.71%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 00:05
SportsBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -5.71%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -8.66%E -7.40%K -50.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 16:10
Fliff🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -5.71%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -8.66%E -7.40%K -50.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 00:30
Bet Right🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 00:25
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 00:00
theScore Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 19:51
Betsson🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 00:30
NordicBet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 00:30
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.90%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 23:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -7.90%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.87%E -6.67%K -43.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-14 19:45
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -7.90%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.87%E -6.67%K -43.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-14 19:45
NetBet (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -7.90%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -9.44%E -8.13%K -58.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-15 00:05
Betr (AU)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -9.00%E -2.17%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-15 00:06
Betclic (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 78.10%EV -10.22%E -8.88%K -68.11%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 00:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.41%E -1.93%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 00:05
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.41%E -1.93%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 00:05
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.41%E -1.93%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 00:05
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.41%E -1.93%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 00:05
Virgin Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:20
Casumo🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:20
Grosvenor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:21
BetRivers🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:20
TABtouch🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:20
Unibet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:20
betPARX🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:20
Bally Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:21
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 00:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:55
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 19:45
Neds🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 19:45
TAB🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 00:15
betano_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 19:48
Bet Victor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 19:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 21:05
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -8.66%E -7.40%K -50.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-14 16:10
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -8.66%E -7.40%K -50.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-14 16:10
PMU (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -16.67%E -4.39%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 14:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%0.2%2026-09-15 00:06
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%0.2%2026-09-15 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%0.2%2026-09-15 00:05
Matchbook◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%0.2%2026-09-15 00:05
Novig◎4.44I 22.52%NM 22.24%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.76%1.3%2026-09-15 00:30
ProphetX◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%1.4%2026-09-15 00:30
Smarkets◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%2.6%2026-09-15 00:06