StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Elsa Jacquemot v Liudmila Samsonova

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-15 00:34 UTC

Endstand: Elsa Jacquemot 0–2 Liudmila Samsonova

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Elsa Jacquemot (Heim)

Prognose 21.93%4.56faire Quote
EV +0.867%
Vorteil +0.189%
Kelly +0.241%
Wachstum +0.002%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.60

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
20.77%22.01%21.93%24.15%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.804.184.154.6026.32%23.92%24.10%21.74%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Liudmila Samsonova (Auswärts)

Prognose 78.07%1.28faire Quote
EV -2.41%
Vorteil -1.93%
Kelly -9.64%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
75.85%77.99%78.07%79.23%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.151.221.221.2586.96%82.19%81.97%80.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Elsa Jacquemot (Heim): 21.93%; Liudmila Samsonova (Auswärts): 78.07%. Für Elsa Jacquemot (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.56. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.60 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.867%.

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Unibet (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%EV +0.867%E +0.189%K +0.241%G +0.002%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-15 00:05
Winamax (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +0.867%E +0.189%K +0.241%G +0.002%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-15 00:05
1xBet🎯4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -0.448%E -0.099%K -0.127%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 00:26
GTbets🎯4.52I 22.12%NM 21.39%EV -0.887%E -0.196%K -0.252%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.61%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-14 22:00
LowVig.ag🎯4.52I 22.12%NM 21.25%EV -0.887%E -0.196%K -0.252%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.75%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 00:05
BetOnline.ag🎯4.52I 22.12%NM 21.25%EV -0.887%E -0.196%K -0.252%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.75%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 00:05
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.33%E -0.295%K -0.379%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 00:29
FanDuel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.33%E -0.295%K -0.379%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 16:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -1.33%E -0.295%K -0.379%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.87%E -6.67%K -43.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 00:25
ReBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.52%E -0.800%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 00:05
Unibet (UK)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.52%E -0.800%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 00:30
Tipico (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.52%E -0.800%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.66%E -7.40%K -50.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 23:36
Pinnacle🎯4.39I 22.78%NM 22.16%EV -3.74%E -0.851%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.84%EV -2.41%E -1.93%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-15 00:16
DraftKings🎯4.36I 22.94%NM 21.86%EV -4.40%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.14%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-15 00:29
Marathon Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -4.61%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 00:30
LeoVegas🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.61%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 00:29
BetMGM🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.05%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 19:45
BetAnything🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -5.71%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 00:05
Fanatics🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.71%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 00:05
Winamax (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.71%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 00:05
SportsBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -5.71%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -8.66%E -7.40%K -50.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 16:10
Fliff🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -5.71%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -8.66%E -7.40%K -50.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 00:30
Bet Right🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 00:25
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 00:00
theScore Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 19:51
Betsson🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 00:30
NordicBet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 00:30
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.90%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 23:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -7.90%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.87%E -6.67%K -43.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-14 19:45
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -7.90%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.87%E -6.67%K -43.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-14 19:45
NetBet (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -7.90%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -9.44%E -8.13%K -58.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-15 00:05
Betr (AU)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -9.00%E -2.17%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-15 00:06
Betclic (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 78.10%EV -10.22%E -8.88%K -68.11%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 00:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.41%E -1.93%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 00:05
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.41%E -1.93%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 00:05
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.41%E -1.93%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 00:05
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.41%E -1.93%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 00:05
Virgin Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:20
Casumo🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:20
Grosvenor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:21
BetRivers🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:20
TABtouch🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:20
Unibet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:20
betPARX🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:20
Bally Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:21
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 00:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:55
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 19:45
Neds🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 19:45
TAB🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 00:15
betano_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 19:48
Bet Victor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 19:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 21:05
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -8.66%E -7.40%K -50.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-14 16:10
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -8.66%E -7.40%K -50.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-14 16:10
PMU (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -16.67%E -4.39%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 14:20
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%0.2%2026-09-15 00:06
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%0.2%2026-09-15 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%0.2%2026-09-15 00:05
Matchbook◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%0.2%2026-09-15 00:05
Novig◎4.44I 22.52%NM 22.24%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.76%1.3%2026-09-15 00:30
ProphetX◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%1.4%2026-09-15 00:30
Smarkets◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%2.6%2026-09-15 00:06