Langue:Français
Elsa Jacquemot v Liudmila Samsonova
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Elsa Jacquemot (Local)
Prévision 21.93%4.56cote équitable
EV +0.867%
Avantage +0.189%
Kelly +0.241%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 4.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.77%22.01%21.93%24.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.804.184.154.6026.32%23.92%24.10%21.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Liudmila Samsonova (Visiteur)
Prévision 78.07%1.28cote équitable
EV -2.41%
Avantage -1.93%
Kelly -9.64%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.85%77.99%78.07%79.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.151.221.221.2586.96%82.19%81.97%80.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Elsa Jacquemot (Local) : 21.93% ; Liudmila Samsonova (Visiteur) : 78.07%. Pour Elsa Jacquemot (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.56. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.60, soit une espérance positive de +0.867%.
Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%EV +0.867%E +0.189%K +0.241%G +0.002% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +0.867%E +0.189%K +0.241%G +0.002% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -0.448%E -0.099%K -0.127%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-15 00:26 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.39%EV -0.887%E -0.196%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.61%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-14 22:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.25%EV -0.887%E -0.196%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.75%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.25%EV -0.887%E -0.196%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.75%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.33%E -0.295%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-15 00:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.33%E -0.295%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-14 16:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -1.33%E -0.295%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.87%E -6.67%K -43.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-15 00:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.52%E -0.800%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.52%E -0.800%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-15 00:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.52%E -0.800%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.66%E -7.40%K -50.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-14 23:36 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.39I 22.78%NM 22.16%EV -3.74%E -0.851%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.84%EV -2.41%E -1.93%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-15 00:16 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.36I 22.94%NM 21.86%EV -4.40%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.14%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-15 00:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -4.61%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-15 00:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.61%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-15 00:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.05%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-14 19:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -5.71%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.71%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.71%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -5.71%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -8.66%E -7.40%K -50.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-14 16:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -5.71%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -8.66%E -7.40%K -50.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-15 00:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-15 00:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-15 00:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 19:51 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 00:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 00:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.90%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -7.90%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.87%E -6.67%K -43.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-14 19:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -7.90%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.87%E -6.67%K -43.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-14 19:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -7.90%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -9.44%E -8.13%K -58.98%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -9.00%E -2.17%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-15 00:06 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.10%EV -10.22%E -8.88%K -68.11%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-15 00:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.41%E -1.93%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.41%E -1.93%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.41%E -1.93%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.41%E -1.93%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 14:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 14:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 14:21 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 14:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 14:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 14:21 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-15 00:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.19%E -2.57%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 14:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 19:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 19:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.75%E -3.89%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-15 00:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-14 19:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-14 19:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.31%E -5.26%K -31.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -8.66%E -7.40%K -50.91%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-14 16:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -8.66%E -7.40%K -50.91%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-14 16:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -16.67%E -4.39%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -5.53%E -4.57%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 14:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 0.2% | 2026-09-15 00:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 0.2% | 2026-09-15 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 0.2% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 0.2% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| Novig◎ | 4.44I 22.52%NM 22.24% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.76% | 1.3% | 2026-09-15 00:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 1.4% | 2026-09-15 00:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34% | 2.6% | 2026-09-15 00:06 |