Language:English
Aryna Sabalenka v Nikola Bartunkova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Prediction 85.74%1.17fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -16.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.08%85.57%85.60%86.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.111.111.1493.46%90.40%90.09%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Nikola Bartunkova (Visit)
Prediction 14.26%7.01fair odd
EV +5.12%
Edge +0.694%
Kelly +0.803%
Growth +0.041%
assuming max odds 7.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.09%14.43%14.40%16.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.596.657.3718.18%15.18%15.04%13.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aryna Sabalenka (Local): 85.74%; Nikola Bartunkova (Visit): 14.26%. For Nikola Bartunkova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.01. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.37, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.12%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000% | 7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV +5.12%E +0.694%K +0.803%G +0.041% | 3.7% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000% | 7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV +5.12%E +0.694%K +0.803%G +0.041% | 3.7% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV +3.41%E +0.470%K +0.545%G +0.019% | 3.9% | 2026-06-19 13:27 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV +2.69%E +0.374%K +0.434%G +0.012% | 4.8% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.41%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000% | 7.12I 14.04%NM 13.59%EV +1.55%E +0.218%K +0.254%G +0.004% | 3.3% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -0.160%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -0.160%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.160%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.160%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-19 13:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.23%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.77%EV -0.873%E -0.126%K -0.147%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-19 13:31 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -7.40%E -6.86%K -92.55%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-19 13:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.59%EV -3.12%E -2.76%K -23.98%G +0.000% | 6.71I 14.90%NM 14.41%EV -4.30%E -0.640%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-19 13:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -4.44%E -0.663%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-19 13:28 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -4.44%E -0.663%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -4.44%E -0.663%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-19 13:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -8.26%E -7.72%K -118.02%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -4.44%E -0.663%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -5.87%E -0.889%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-19 13:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -5.87%E -0.889%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-19 13:28 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-19 13:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.55%E -6.01%K -72.74%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.55%E -6.01%K -72.74%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.55%E -6.01%K -72.74%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -8.00%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.55%E -6.01%K -72.74%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -8.72%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.55%E -6.01%K -72.74%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -8.72%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.55%E -6.01%K -72.74%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -8.72%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.55%E -6.01%K -72.74%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -8.72%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.56%EV -7.40%E -6.86%K -92.55%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -8.72%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.16%EV -7.40%E -6.86%K -92.55%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.84%EV -11.57%E -1.87%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -2.26%E -1.98%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -13.71%E -2.27%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-19 13:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -14.42%E -2.40%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -14.42%E -2.40%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -14.42%E -2.40%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-19 13:28 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -15.85%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -15.85%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -21.55%E -3.92%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-19 13:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -21.55%E -3.92%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-19 13:31 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 0.5% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 0.5% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 0.5% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-06-19 13:31 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.27% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.73% | 2.9% | 2026-06-19 13:31 |
| Novig◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.73% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.27% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 13:30 |