Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Aryna Sabalenka v Nikola Bartunkova

Início: 2026-06-19 13:35 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Aryna Sabalenka (Local)

Previsão 85.74%1.17odd justa
EV -2.26%
Vantagem -1.98%
Kelly -16.14%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.14

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
83.08%85.57%85.60%86.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.071.111.111.1493.46%90.40%90.09%87.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nikola Bartunkova (Visitante)

Previsão 14.26%7.01odd justa
EV +5.12%
Vantagem +0.694%
Kelly +0.803%
Crescimento +0.041%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.37

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.09%14.43%14.40%16.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.506.596.657.3718.18%15.18%15.04%13.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Aryna Sabalenka (Local): 85.74%; Nikola Bartunkova (Visitante): 14.26%. Para Nikola Bartunkova (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 7.01. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 7.37, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.12%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV +5.12%E +0.694%K +0.803%G +0.041%3.7%2026-06-19 13:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV +5.12%E +0.694%K +0.803%G +0.041%3.7%2026-06-19 13:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV +3.41%E +0.470%K +0.545%G +0.019%3.9%2026-06-19 13:27
FanDuel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV +2.69%E +0.374%K +0.434%G +0.012%4.8%2026-06-19 13:30
Pinnacle🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.41%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000%7.12I 14.04%NM 13.59%EV +1.55%E +0.218%K +0.254%G +0.004%3.3%2026-06-19 13:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -0.160%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-19 13:30
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -0.160%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-19 13:30
Sky Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.160%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 13:30
BetUS🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.160%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 13:29
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.23%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.77%EV -0.873%E -0.126%K -0.147%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-19 13:31
Unibet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
BetRivers🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
Casumo🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
Grosvenor🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
LeoVegas🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
Bet Right🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
TABtouch🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
Bovada🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
betPARX🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
Bally Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -7.40%E -6.86%K -92.55%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 13:29
GTbets🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.59%EV -3.12%E -2.76%K -23.98%G +0.000%6.71I 14.90%NM 14.41%EV -4.30%E -0.640%K -0.752%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-19 13:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -4.44%E -0.663%K -0.779%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 13:28
Coolbet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -4.44%E -0.663%K -0.779%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 13:30
BetAnything🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -4.44%E -0.663%K -0.779%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 13:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -8.26%E -7.72%K -118.02%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -4.44%E -0.663%K -0.779%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-19 13:30
Fanatics🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -5.87%E -0.889%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 13:29
ReBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -5.87%E -0.889%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 13:28
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-19 13:29
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-19 13:30
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 13:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 13:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 13:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 13:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-19 13:30
betfred_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-19 13:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-19 13:30
PlayUp🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-19 13:30
BetMGM🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-19 13:30
TAB🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.55%E -6.01%K -72.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-19 13:30
Coral🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.55%E -6.01%K -72.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-19 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.55%E -6.01%K -72.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-19 13:30
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -8.00%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 13:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.55%E -6.01%K -72.74%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -8.72%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 13:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.55%E -6.01%K -72.74%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -8.72%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.55%E -6.01%K -72.74%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -8.72%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 13:30
Neds🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.55%E -6.01%K -72.74%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -8.72%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 13:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.56%EV -7.40%E -6.86%K -92.55%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -8.72%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-19 13:30
Fliff🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.16%EV -7.40%E -6.86%K -92.55%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.84%EV -11.57%E -1.87%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-19 13:30
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -2.26%E -1.98%K -16.14%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -13.71%E -2.27%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-19 13:29
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -14.42%E -2.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-19 13:30
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -14.42%E -2.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-19 13:30
Everygame🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -14.42%E -2.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-19 13:28
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -15.85%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 13:30
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -15.85%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 13:30
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -21.55%E -3.92%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-19 13:29
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -21.55%E -3.92%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-19 13:31
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%0.5%2026-06-19 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%0.5%2026-06-19 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%0.5%2026-06-19 13:30
Matchbook1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-06-19 13:31
Smarkets1.14I 87.72%NM 85.27%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.73%2.9%2026-06-19 13:31
Novig1.11I 90.09%NM 85.73%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.27%5.1%2026-06-19 13:30