StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Aryna Sabalenka v Nikola Bartunkova

Spielbeginn: 2026-06-19 13:35 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

64 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Aryna Sabalenka (Heim)

Prognose 85.74%1.17faire Quote
EV -2.26%
Vorteil -1.98%
Kelly -16.14%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.14

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
83.08%85.57%85.60%86.91%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.071.111.111.1493.46%90.40%90.09%87.72%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Nikola Bartunkova (Auswärts)

Prognose 14.26%7.01faire Quote
EV +5.12%
Vorteil +0.694%
Kelly +0.803%
Wachstum +0.041%

bei einer Höchstquote von 7.37

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
13.09%14.43%14.40%16.92%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
5.506.596.657.3718.18%15.18%15.04%13.57%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Aryna Sabalenka (Heim): 85.74%; Nikola Bartunkova (Auswärts): 14.26%. Für Nikola Bartunkova (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 7.01. 5 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 7.37 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +5.12%.

Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
BetOnline.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV +5.12%E +0.694%K +0.803%G +0.041%3.7%2026-06-19 13:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV +5.12%E +0.694%K +0.803%G +0.041%3.7%2026-06-19 13:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV +3.41%E +0.470%K +0.545%G +0.019%3.9%2026-06-19 13:27
FanDuel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV +2.69%E +0.374%K +0.434%G +0.012%4.8%2026-06-19 13:30
Pinnacle🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.41%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000%7.12I 14.04%NM 13.59%EV +1.55%E +0.218%K +0.254%G +0.004%3.3%2026-06-19 13:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -0.160%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-19 13:30
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -0.160%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-19 13:30
Sky Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.160%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 13:30
BetUS🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.160%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 13:29
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.23%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.77%EV -0.873%E -0.126%K -0.147%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-19 13:31
Unibet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
BetRivers🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
Casumo🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
Grosvenor🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
LeoVegas🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
Bet Right🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
TABtouch🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
Bovada🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
betPARX🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
Bally Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -7.40%E -6.86%K -92.55%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 13:29
GTbets🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.59%EV -3.12%E -2.76%K -23.98%G +0.000%6.71I 14.90%NM 14.41%EV -4.30%E -0.640%K -0.752%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-19 13:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -4.44%E -0.663%K -0.779%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 13:28
Coolbet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -4.44%E -0.663%K -0.779%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 13:30
BetAnything🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -4.44%E -0.663%K -0.779%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 13:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -8.26%E -7.72%K -118.02%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -4.44%E -0.663%K -0.779%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-19 13:30
Fanatics🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -5.87%E -0.889%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 13:29
ReBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -5.87%E -0.889%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 13:28
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-19 13:29
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-19 13:30
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 13:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 13:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 13:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 13:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-19 13:30
betfred_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-19 13:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-19 13:30
PlayUp🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-19 13:30
BetMGM🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-19 13:30
TAB🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.55%E -6.01%K -72.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-19 13:30
Coral🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.55%E -6.01%K -72.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-19 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.55%E -6.01%K -72.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-19 13:30
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -8.00%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 13:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.55%E -6.01%K -72.74%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -8.72%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 13:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.55%E -6.01%K -72.74%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -8.72%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.55%E -6.01%K -72.74%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -8.72%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 13:30
Neds🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.55%E -6.01%K -72.74%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -8.72%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 13:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.56%EV -7.40%E -6.86%K -92.55%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -8.72%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-19 13:30
Fliff🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.16%EV -7.40%E -6.86%K -92.55%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.84%EV -11.57%E -1.87%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-19 13:30
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -2.26%E -1.98%K -16.14%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -13.71%E -2.27%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-19 13:29
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -14.42%E -2.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-19 13:30
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -14.42%E -2.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-19 13:30
Everygame🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -14.42%E -2.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-19 13:28
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -15.85%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 13:30
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -15.85%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 13:30
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -21.55%E -3.92%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-19 13:29
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -21.55%E -3.92%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-19 13:31
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%0.5%2026-06-19 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%0.5%2026-06-19 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%0.5%2026-06-19 13:30
Matchbook1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-06-19 13:31
Smarkets1.14I 87.72%NM 85.27%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.73%2.9%2026-06-19 13:31
Novig1.11I 90.09%NM 85.73%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.27%5.1%2026-06-19 13:30