Aryna Sabalenka v Nikola Bartunkova

Inicio: 2026-06-19 13:35 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

86%

14%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Aryna Sabalenka (Local)

Predicción 85.74%1.17momio equitativo

EV -2.26%

Ventaja -1.98%

Kelly -16.14%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.14

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

83.08%85.57%85.60%86.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

1.071.111.111.1493.46%90.40%90.09%87.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Nikola Bartunkova (Visitante)

Predicción 14.26%7.01momio equitativo

EV +5.12%

Ventaja +0.694%

Kelly +0.803%

Crecimiento +0.041%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.37

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

13.09%14.43%14.40%16.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

5.506.596.657.3718.18%15.18%15.04%13.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local	Visitante ▼	Margen	Actualizado
BetOnline.ag	1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%	7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV +5.12%E +0.694%K +0.803%G +0.041%	3.7%	2026-06-19 13:30
LowVig.ag	1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%	7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV +5.12%E +0.694%K +0.803%G +0.041%	3.7%	2026-06-19 13:30
Betclic (FR)	1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%	7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV +3.41%E +0.470%K +0.545%G +0.019%	3.9%	2026-06-19 13:27
FanDuel	1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%	7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV +2.69%E +0.374%K +0.434%G +0.012%	4.8%	2026-06-19 13:30
Pinnacle	1.12I 89.29%NM 86.41%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000%	7.12I 14.04%NM 13.59%EV +1.55%E +0.218%K +0.254%G +0.004%	3.3%	2026-06-19 13:30
Winamax (DE)	1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -0.160%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-06-19 13:30
BoyleSports	1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -0.160%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-06-19 13:30
Sky Bet	1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.160%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-19 13:30
BetUS	1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.160%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-19 13:29
DraftKings	1.11I 90.09%NM 86.23%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%	6.95I 14.39%NM 13.77%EV -0.873%E -0.126%K -0.147%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-06-19 13:31
Unibet	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%	6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-06-19 13:30
Unibet (NL)	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%	6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-06-19 13:30
Unibet (SE)	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%	6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-06-19 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%	6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-06-19 13:30
BetRivers	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%	6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-06-19 13:30
Casumo	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%	6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-06-19 13:30
Grosvenor	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%	6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-06-19 13:30
LeoVegas	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%	6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-06-19 13:30
Bet Right	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%	6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-06-19 13:30
TABtouch	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%	6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-06-19 13:30
Bovada	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%	6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-06-19 13:30
Svenska Spel	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%	6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-06-19 13:30
betPARX	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%	6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-06-19 13:30
ATG (SE)	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%	6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-06-19 13:30
Bally Bet	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%	6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-06-19 13:30
Hard Rock Bet	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%	6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-06-19 13:30
NetBet (FR)	1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -7.40%E -6.86%K -92.55%G +0.000%	6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-06-19 13:29
GTbets	1.13I 88.50%NM 85.59%EV -3.12%E -2.76%K -23.98%G +0.000%	6.71I 14.90%NM 14.41%EV -4.30%E -0.640%K -0.752%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-06-19 13:29
Unibet (FR)	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%	6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -4.44%E -0.663%K -0.779%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-06-19 13:28
Coolbet	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%	6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -4.44%E -0.663%K -0.779%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-06-19 13:30
BetAnything	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%	6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -4.44%E -0.663%K -0.779%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-06-19 13:29
Tipico (DE)	1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -8.26%E -7.72%K -118.02%G +0.000%	6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -4.44%E -0.663%K -0.779%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-06-19 13:30
Fanatics	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%	6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -5.87%E -0.889%K -1.05%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-19 13:29
ReBet	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%	6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -5.87%E -0.889%K -1.05%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-19 13:28
Unibet (UK)	1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-06-19 13:29
Betway	1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-06-19 13:30
William Hill	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-06-19 13:30
Winamax (FR)	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-06-19 13:30
Marathon Bet	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-06-19 13:30
Dabble (AU)	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-06-19 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-06-19 13:30
PointsBet (AU)	1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-06-19 13:30
betfred_uk	1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-06-19 13:30
Betr (AU)	1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-06-19 13:30
PlayUp	1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-06-19 13:30
BetMGM	1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-06-19 13:30
TAB	1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.55%E -6.01%K -72.74%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-06-19 13:30
Coral	1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.55%E -6.01%K -72.74%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-06-19 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.55%E -6.01%K -72.74%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-06-19 13:30
theScore Bet	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%	6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -8.00%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-19 13:30
LiveScore Bet	1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.55%E -6.01%K -72.74%G +0.000%	6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -8.72%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-06-19 13:30
Virgin Bet	1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.55%E -6.01%K -72.74%G +0.000%	6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -8.72%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-06-19 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.55%E -6.01%K -72.74%G +0.000%	6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -8.72%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-06-19 13:30
Neds	1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.55%E -6.01%K -72.74%G +0.000%	6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -8.72%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-06-19 13:30
PMU (FR)	1.08I 92.59%NM 85.56%EV -7.40%E -6.86%K -92.55%G +0.000%	6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -8.72%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-06-19 13:30
Fliff	1.08I 92.59%NM 85.16%EV -7.40%E -6.86%K -92.55%G +0.000%	6.20I 16.13%NM 14.84%EV -11.57%E -1.87%K -2.23%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-06-19 13:30
1xBet	1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -2.26%E -1.98%K -16.14%G +0.000%	6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -13.71%E -2.27%K -2.71%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-06-19 13:29
Paddy Power	1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -14.42%E -2.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-19 13:30
SportsBet	1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -14.42%E -2.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-19 13:30
Everygame	1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -14.42%E -2.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-19 13:28
Betsson	1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000%	5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -15.85%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-06-19 13:30
NordicBet	1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000%	5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -15.85%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-06-19 13:30
Bet Victor	1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -21.55%E -3.92%K -4.79%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-06-19 13:29
Caesars	1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -21.55%E -3.92%K -4.79%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-06-19 13:31

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%	7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%	0.5%	2026-06-19 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%	7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%	0.5%	2026-06-19 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%	7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%	0.5%	2026-06-19 13:30
Matchbook	1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%	7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%	0.9%	2026-06-19 13:31
Smarkets	1.14I 87.72%NM 85.27%	6.60I 15.15%NM 14.73%	2.9%	2026-06-19 13:31
Novig	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.73%	6.67I 14.99%NM 14.27%	5.1%	2026-06-19 13:30