L’École des cotes

Aryna Sabalenka v Nikola Bartunkova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-19 13:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Aryna Sabalenka (Local)

Prévision 85.74%1.17cote équitable
EV -2.26%
Avantage -1.98%
Kelly -16.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
83.08%85.57%85.60%86.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.071.111.111.1493.46%90.40%90.09%87.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Nikola Bartunkova (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.26%7.01cote équitable
EV +5.12%
Avantage +0.694%
Kelly +0.803%
Croissance +0.041%

avec la cote maximale 7.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.09%14.43%14.40%16.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.596.657.3718.18%15.18%15.04%13.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV +5.12%E +0.694%K +0.803%G +0.041%3.7%2026-06-19 13:30
LowVig.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV +5.12%E +0.694%K +0.803%G +0.041%3.7%2026-06-19 13:30
Betclic (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV +3.41%E +0.470%K +0.545%G +0.019%3.9%2026-06-19 13:27
FanDuel1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV +2.69%E +0.374%K +0.434%G +0.012%4.8%2026-06-19 13:30
Pinnacle1.12I 89.29%NM 86.41%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000%7.12I 14.04%NM 13.59%EV +1.55%E +0.218%K +0.254%G +0.004%3.3%2026-06-19 13:30
Winamax (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -0.160%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-19 13:30
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -0.160%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-19 13:30
Sky Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.160%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 13:30
BetUS1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.160%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 13:29
DraftKings1.11I 90.09%NM 86.23%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.77%EV -0.873%E -0.126%K -0.147%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-19 13:31
Unibet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
Unibet (NL)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
Unibet (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
BetRivers1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
Casumo1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
Grosvenor1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
LeoVegas1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
Bet Right1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
TABtouch1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
Bovada1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
Svenska Spel1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
betPARX1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
ATG (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
Bally Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
Hard Rock Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 13:30
NetBet (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -7.40%E -6.86%K -92.55%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -3.73%E -0.552%K -0.648%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 13:29
GTbets1.13I 88.50%NM 85.59%EV -3.12%E -2.76%K -23.98%G +0.000%6.71I 14.90%NM 14.41%EV -4.30%E -0.640%K -0.752%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-19 13:29
Unibet (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -4.44%E -0.663%K -0.779%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 13:28
Coolbet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -4.44%E -0.663%K -0.779%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 13:30
BetAnything1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -4.44%E -0.663%K -0.779%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 13:29
Tipico (DE)1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -8.26%E -7.72%K -118.02%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -4.44%E -0.663%K -0.779%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-19 13:30
Fanatics1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -5.87%E -0.889%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 13:29
ReBet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -5.87%E -0.889%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 13:28
Unibet (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-19 13:29
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-19 13:30
William Hill1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 13:30
Winamax (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 13:30
Marathon Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 13:30
Dabble (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 13:30
PointsBet (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-19 13:30
betfred_uk1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-19 13:30
Betr (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-19 13:30
PlayUp1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-19 13:30
BetMGM1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-19 13:30
TAB1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.55%E -6.01%K -72.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-19 13:30
Coral1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.55%E -6.01%K -72.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-19 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.55%E -6.01%K -72.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -7.29%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-19 13:30
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.83%E -4.35%K -43.93%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -8.00%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 13:30
LiveScore Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.55%E -6.01%K -72.74%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -8.72%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 13:30
Virgin Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.55%E -6.01%K -72.74%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -8.72%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.55%E -6.01%K -72.74%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -8.72%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 13:30
Neds1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.55%E -6.01%K -72.74%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -8.72%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 13:30
PMU (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 85.56%EV -7.40%E -6.86%K -92.55%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -8.72%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-19 13:30
Fliff1.08I 92.59%NM 85.16%EV -7.40%E -6.86%K -92.55%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.84%EV -11.57%E -1.87%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-19 13:30
1xBet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -2.26%E -1.98%K -16.14%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -13.71%E -2.27%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-19 13:29
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -14.42%E -2.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-19 13:30
SportsBet1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -14.42%E -2.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-19 13:30
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.69%E -5.17%K -56.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -14.42%E -2.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-19 13:28
Betsson1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -15.85%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 13:30
NordicBet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -15.85%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 13:30
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -21.55%E -3.92%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-19 13:29
Caesars1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -3.97%E -3.55%K -33.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -21.55%E -3.92%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-19 13:31
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%0.5%2026-06-19 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%0.5%2026-06-19 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%0.5%2026-06-19 13:30
Matchbook1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-06-19 13:31
Smarkets1.14I 87.72%NM 85.27%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.73%2.9%2026-06-19 13:31
Novig1.11I 90.09%NM 85.73%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.27%5.1%2026-06-19 13:30