Язык:Русский
Aryna Sabalenka v Ekaterina Alexandrova
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Aryna Sabalenka (Хозяева)
Прогноз 78.11%1.28справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.37%
Преимущество -1.89%
Kelly -9.47%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.25
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
74.23%77.95%77.92%79.62%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.181.211.201.2584.75%82.67%83.33%80.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ekaterina Alexandrova (Гости)
Прогноз 21.89%4.57справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.81%
Преимущество +0.389%
Kelly +0.495%
Рост +0.009%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.65
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
20.38%22.05%22.08%25.77%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.604.334.304.6527.78%23.11%23.26%21.51%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Aryna Sabalenka (Хозяева): 78.11%; Ekaterina Alexandrova (Гости): 21.89%. Для исхода «Ekaterina Alexandrova (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.57. 14 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.65, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.81%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (64 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -7.05%E -5.93%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV +1.81%E +0.389%K +0.495%G +0.009% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.37%EV -7.83%E -6.64%K -43.53%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.63%EV -0.601%E -0.132%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-17 15:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.93%E -3.19%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -1.48%E -0.328%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.48%E -0.328%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.48%E -0.328%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.48%E -0.328%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.48%E -0.328%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.15%EV -2.37%E -1.89%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.85%EV -2.13%E -0.477%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-17 15:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.70%EV -5.49%E -4.54%K -26.15%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.30%EV -2.13%E -0.477%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.67%E -0.833%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.49%E -4.54%K -26.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.67%E -0.833%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.67%E -0.833%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-17 15:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.67%E -0.833%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.83%E -6.64%K -43.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.67%E -0.833%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.76%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 15:28 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -3.93%E -3.19%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -4.98%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -5.20%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.20%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 15:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 15:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.49%E -4.54%K -26.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.15%E -2.54%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-17 15:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.15%E -2.54%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.49%E -4.54%K -26.15%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-17 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -7.05%E -5.93%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -7.05%E -5.93%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -7.05%E -5.93%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -7.05%E -5.93%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-17 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.83%E -6.64%K -43.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.83%E -6.64%K -43.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -3.93%E -3.19%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -9.14%E -2.20%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -9.14%E -2.20%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -9.14%E -2.20%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.37%E -1.89%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.42%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.15%E -2.54%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.42%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.15%E -2.54%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.42%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.42%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-17 15:22 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.42%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.42%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.42%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.42%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.37%E -1.89%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -13.52%E -3.42%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -2.37%E -1.89%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -21.18%E -5.88%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-17 15:29 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.3% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.3% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.3% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.3% | 2026-06-17 15:31 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.5% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.58% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.42% | 2.6% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |