Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Aryna Sabalenka v Ekaterina Alexandrova

Início: 2026-06-17 15:35 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Aryna Sabalenka (Local)

Previsão 78.11%1.28odd justa
EV -2.37%
Vantagem -1.89%
Kelly -9.47%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
74.23%77.95%77.92%79.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.181.211.201.2584.75%82.67%83.33%80.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visitante)

Previsão 21.89%4.57odd justa
EV +1.81%
Vantagem +0.389%
Kelly +0.495%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.38%22.05%22.08%25.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.604.334.304.6527.78%23.11%23.26%21.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Aryna Sabalenka (Local): 78.11%; Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visitante): 21.89%. Para Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.57. 14 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.65, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.81%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
theScore Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -7.05%E -5.93%K -37.13%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV +1.81%E +0.389%K +0.495%G +0.009%5.5%2026-06-17 15:30
Unibet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001%5.1%2026-06-17 15:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001%5.1%2026-06-17 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001%5.1%2026-06-17 15:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001%5.1%2026-06-17 15:30
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001%5.1%2026-06-17 15:30
TABtouch🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001%5.1%2026-06-17 15:30
BetRivers🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001%5.1%2026-06-17 15:30
Grosvenor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001%5.1%2026-06-17 15:30
Casumo🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001%5.1%2026-06-17 15:30
betPARX🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001%5.1%2026-06-17 15:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001%5.1%2026-06-17 15:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001%5.1%2026-06-17 15:30
Bally Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001%5.1%2026-06-17 15:30
GTbets🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.37%EV -7.83%E -6.64%K -43.53%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.63%EV -0.601%E -0.132%K -0.170%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 15:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.93%E -3.19%K -17.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -1.48%E -0.328%K -0.422%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-17 15:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.48%E -0.328%K -0.422%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 15:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.48%E -0.328%K -0.422%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 15:30
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.48%E -0.328%K -0.422%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.48%E -0.328%K -0.422%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:30
Pinnacle🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 78.15%EV -2.37%E -1.89%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.85%EV -2.13%E -0.477%K -0.615%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-17 15:29
DraftKings🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.70%EV -5.49%E -4.54%K -26.15%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.30%EV -2.13%E -0.477%K -0.615%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 15:30
FanDuel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.67%E -0.833%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 15:30
Fanatics🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.49%E -4.54%K -26.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.67%E -0.833%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 15:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.67%E -0.833%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 15:29
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.67%E -0.833%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 15:30
TAB🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.83%E -6.64%K -43.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.67%E -0.833%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 15:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.76%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 15:28
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -3.93%E -3.19%K -17.09%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -4.98%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 15:30
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -5.20%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 15:30
betfred_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.20%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 15:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 15:30
Coolbet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 15:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 15:29
BetAnything🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 15:30
ReBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 15:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.49%E -4.54%K -26.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 15:30
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.15%E -2.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 15:29
BetUS🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.15%E -2.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 15:30
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 15:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.49%E -4.54%K -26.15%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 15:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 15:30
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 15:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 15:30
Fliff🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 15:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -7.05%E -5.93%K -37.13%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-17 15:30
Neds🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -7.05%E -5.93%K -37.13%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-17 15:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -7.05%E -5.93%K -37.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-17 15:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -7.05%E -5.93%K -37.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-17 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.83%E -6.64%K -43.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-17 15:30
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.83%E -6.64%K -43.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-17 15:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -3.93%E -3.19%K -17.09%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -9.14%E -2.20%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 15:30
Betsson🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -9.14%E -2.20%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 15:30
NordicBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -9.14%E -2.20%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 15:30
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.37%E -1.89%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.42%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 15:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.15%E -2.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.42%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:30
PlayUp🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.15%E -2.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.42%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:30
Caesars🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.42%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 15:22
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.42%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 15:30
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.42%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 15:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.42%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 15:30
Everygame🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.42%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 15:30
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.37%E -1.89%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -13.52%E -3.42%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 15:30
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -2.37%E -1.89%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -21.18%E -5.88%K -8.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-17 15:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-06-17 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-06-17 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-06-17 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-06-17 15:31
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-06-17 15:30
Novig1.24I 80.65%NM 78.58%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.42%2.6%2026-06-17 15:30