La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Aryna Sabalenka v Ekaterina Alexandrova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Predicción 78.11%1.28momio equitativo
EV -2.37%
Ventaja -1.89%
Kelly -9.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
74.23%77.95%77.92%79.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.181.211.201.2584.75%82.67%83.33%80.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visitante)
Predicción 21.89%4.57momio equitativo
EV +1.81%
Ventaja +0.389%
Kelly +0.495%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.38%22.05%22.08%25.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.334.304.6527.78%23.11%23.26%21.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -7.05%E -5.93%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV +1.81%E +0.389%K +0.495%G +0.009% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Unibet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Casumo | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| betPARX | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Bally Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| GTbets | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.37%EV -7.83%E -6.64%K -43.53%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.63%EV -0.601%E -0.132%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-17 15:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.93%E -3.19%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -1.48%E -0.328%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.48%E -0.328%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.48%E -0.328%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.48%E -0.328%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.48%E -0.328%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.15%EV -2.37%E -1.89%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.85%EV -2.13%E -0.477%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-17 15:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.70%EV -5.49%E -4.54%K -26.15%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.30%EV -2.13%E -0.477%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.67%E -0.833%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.49%E -4.54%K -26.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.67%E -0.833%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.67%E -0.833%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-17 15:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.67%E -0.833%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| TAB | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.83%E -6.64%K -43.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.67%E -0.833%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.76%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 15:28 |
| 1xBet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -3.93%E -3.19%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -4.98%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -5.20%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| betfred_uk | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.20%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 15:29 |
| BetAnything | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| ReBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 15:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.49%E -4.54%K -26.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Bovada | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.15%E -2.54%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-17 15:29 |
| BetUS | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.15%E -2.54%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Betway | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.49%E -4.54%K -26.15%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Fliff | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-17 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -7.05%E -5.93%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Neds | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -7.05%E -5.93%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -7.05%E -5.93%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -7.05%E -5.93%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-17 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.83%E -6.64%K -43.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Coral | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.83%E -6.64%K -43.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -3.93%E -3.19%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -9.14%E -2.20%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Betsson | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -9.14%E -2.20%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -9.14%E -2.20%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| William Hill | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.37%E -1.89%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.42%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.15%E -2.54%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.42%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.15%E -2.54%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.42%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Caesars | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.42%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-17 15:22 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.42%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.42%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.42%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Everygame | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.42%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Bet Right | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.37%E -1.89%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -13.52%E -3.42%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -2.37%E -1.89%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -21.18%E -5.88%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-17 15:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.3% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.3% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.3% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.3% | 2026-06-17 15:31 |
| Smarkets | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.5% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |
| Novig | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.58% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.42% | 2.6% | 2026-06-17 15:30 |