Szkoła Kursów

Aryna Sabalenka v Ekaterina Alexandrova

Początek: 2026-06-17 15:35 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

64 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Aryna Sabalenka (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 78.11%1.28kurs godziwy
EV -2.37%
Przewaga -1.89%
Kelly -9.47%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.25

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
74.23%77.95%77.92%79.62%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.181.211.201.2584.75%82.67%83.33%80.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Ekaterina Alexandrova (Goście)

Prognoza 21.89%4.57kurs godziwy
EV +1.81%
Przewaga +0.389%
Kelly +0.495%
Wzrost +0.009%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.65

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
20.38%22.05%22.08%25.77%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.604.334.304.6527.78%23.11%23.26%21.51%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
theScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -7.05%E -5.93%K -37.13%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV +1.81%E +0.389%K +0.495%G +0.009%5.5%2026-06-17 15:30
Unibet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001%5.1%2026-06-17 15:30
Unibet (NL)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001%5.1%2026-06-17 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001%5.1%2026-06-17 15:30
Unibet (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001%5.1%2026-06-17 15:30
LeoVegas1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001%5.1%2026-06-17 15:30
TABtouch1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001%5.1%2026-06-17 15:30
BetRivers1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001%5.1%2026-06-17 15:30
Grosvenor1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001%5.1%2026-06-17 15:30
Casumo1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001%5.1%2026-06-17 15:30
betPARX1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001%5.1%2026-06-17 15:30
ATG (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001%5.1%2026-06-17 15:30
Svenska Spel1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001%5.1%2026-06-17 15:30
Bally Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001%5.1%2026-06-17 15:30
GTbets1.18I 84.75%NM 79.37%EV -7.83%E -6.64%K -43.53%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.63%EV -0.601%E -0.132%K -0.170%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 15:29
Winamax (DE)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.93%E -3.19%K -17.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -1.48%E -0.328%K -0.422%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-17 15:30
LowVig.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.48%E -0.328%K -0.422%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 15:30
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.48%E -0.328%K -0.422%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 15:30
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.48%E -0.328%K -0.422%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:30
Hard Rock Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.48%E -0.328%K -0.422%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:30
Pinnacle1.25I 80.00%NM 78.15%EV -2.37%E -1.89%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.85%EV -2.13%E -0.477%K -0.615%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-17 15:29
DraftKings1.21I 82.64%NM 78.70%EV -5.49%E -4.54%K -26.15%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.30%EV -2.13%E -0.477%K -0.615%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 15:30
FanDuel1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.67%E -0.833%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 15:30
Fanatics1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.49%E -4.54%K -26.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.67%E -0.833%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 15:30
Betclic (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.67%E -0.833%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 15:29
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.67%E -0.833%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 15:30
TAB1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.83%E -6.64%K -43.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.67%E -0.833%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 15:30
Unibet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.76%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 15:28
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -3.93%E -3.19%K -17.09%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -4.98%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 15:30
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -5.20%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 15:30
betfred_uk1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.20%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 15:30
Winamax (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 15:30
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 15:30
Unibet (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 15:29
BetAnything1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 15:30
ReBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 15:29
Betr (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.49%E -4.54%K -26.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 15:30
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.15%E -2.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 15:29
BetUS1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.15%E -2.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 15:30
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 15:30
PointsBet (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.49%E -4.54%K -26.15%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 15:30
Virgin Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 15:30
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 15:30
LiveScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 15:30
Fliff1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 15:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -7.05%E -5.93%K -37.13%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-17 15:30
Neds1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -7.05%E -5.93%K -37.13%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-17 15:30
PMU (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -7.05%E -5.93%K -37.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-17 15:30
NetBet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -7.05%E -5.93%K -37.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-17 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.83%E -6.64%K -43.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-17 15:30
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.83%E -6.64%K -43.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-17 15:30
Marathon Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -3.93%E -3.19%K -17.09%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -9.14%E -2.20%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 15:30
Betsson1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -9.14%E -2.20%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 15:30
NordicBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -9.14%E -2.20%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 15:30
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.37%E -1.89%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.42%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 15:30
Dabble (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.15%E -2.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.42%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:30
PlayUp1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.15%E -2.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.42%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:30
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.42%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 15:22
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.42%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 15:30
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.42%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 15:30
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.42%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 15:30
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.42%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 15:30
Bet Right1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.37%E -1.89%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -13.52%E -3.42%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 15:30
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -2.37%E -1.89%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -21.18%E -5.88%K -8.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-17 15:29
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-06-17 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-06-17 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-06-17 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-06-17 15:31
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-06-17 15:30
Novig1.24I 80.65%NM 78.58%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.42%2.6%2026-06-17 15:30