La scuola delle quote

Aryna Sabalenka v Ekaterina Alexandrova

Inizio: 2026-06-17 15:35 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Aryna Sabalenka (Casa)

Previsione 78.11%1.28quota equa
EV -2.37%
Vantaggio -1.89%
Kelly -9.47%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
74.23%77.95%77.92%79.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.181.211.201.2584.75%82.67%83.33%80.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ekaterina Alexandrova (Trasferta)

Previsione 21.89%4.57quota equa
EV +1.81%
Vantaggio +0.389%
Kelly +0.495%
Crescita +0.009%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.38%22.05%22.08%25.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.334.304.6527.78%23.11%23.26%21.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
theScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -7.05%E -5.93%K -37.13%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV +1.81%E +0.389%K +0.495%G +0.009%5.5%2026-06-17 15:30
Unibet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001%5.1%2026-06-17 15:30
Unibet (NL)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001%5.1%2026-06-17 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001%5.1%2026-06-17 15:30
Unibet (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001%5.1%2026-06-17 15:30
LeoVegas1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001%5.1%2026-06-17 15:30
TABtouch1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001%5.1%2026-06-17 15:30
BetRivers1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001%5.1%2026-06-17 15:30
Grosvenor1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001%5.1%2026-06-17 15:30
Casumo1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001%5.1%2026-06-17 15:30
betPARX1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001%5.1%2026-06-17 15:30
ATG (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001%5.1%2026-06-17 15:30
Svenska Spel1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001%5.1%2026-06-17 15:30
Bally Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.712%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001%5.1%2026-06-17 15:30
GTbets1.18I 84.75%NM 79.37%EV -7.83%E -6.64%K -43.53%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.63%EV -0.601%E -0.132%K -0.170%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 15:29
Winamax (DE)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.93%E -3.19%K -17.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -1.48%E -0.328%K -0.422%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-17 15:30
LowVig.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.48%E -0.328%K -0.422%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 15:30
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.48%E -0.328%K -0.422%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 15:30
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.48%E -0.328%K -0.422%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:30
Hard Rock Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.48%E -0.328%K -0.422%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:30
Pinnacle1.25I 80.00%NM 78.15%EV -2.37%E -1.89%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.85%EV -2.13%E -0.477%K -0.615%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-17 15:29
DraftKings1.21I 82.64%NM 78.70%EV -5.49%E -4.54%K -26.15%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.30%EV -2.13%E -0.477%K -0.615%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 15:30
FanDuel1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.67%E -0.833%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 15:30
Fanatics1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.49%E -4.54%K -26.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.67%E -0.833%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 15:30
Betclic (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.67%E -0.833%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 15:29
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.67%E -0.833%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 15:30
TAB1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.83%E -6.64%K -43.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.67%E -0.833%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 15:30
Unibet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.76%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 15:28
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -3.93%E -3.19%K -17.09%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -4.98%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 15:30
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -5.20%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 15:30
betfred_uk1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.20%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 15:30
Winamax (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 15:30
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 15:30
Unibet (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 15:29
BetAnything1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 15:30
ReBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 15:29
Betr (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.49%E -4.54%K -26.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 15:30
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.15%E -2.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 15:29
BetUS1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.15%E -2.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 15:30
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 15:30
PointsBet (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.49%E -4.54%K -26.15%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 15:30
Virgin Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 15:30
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 15:30
LiveScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 15:30
Fliff1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 15:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -7.05%E -5.93%K -37.13%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-17 15:30
Neds1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -7.05%E -5.93%K -37.13%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-17 15:30
PMU (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -7.05%E -5.93%K -37.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-17 15:30
NetBet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -7.05%E -5.93%K -37.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-17 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.83%E -6.64%K -43.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-17 15:30
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.83%E -6.64%K -43.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-17 15:30
Marathon Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -3.93%E -3.19%K -17.09%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -9.14%E -2.20%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 15:30
Betsson1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -9.14%E -2.20%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 15:30
NordicBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -9.14%E -2.20%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 15:30
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.37%E -1.89%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.42%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 15:30
Dabble (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.15%E -2.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.42%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:30
PlayUp1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.15%E -2.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.42%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:30
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.42%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 15:22
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.42%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 15:30
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.42%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 15:30
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.42%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 15:30
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.42%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 15:30
Bet Right1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.37%E -1.89%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -13.52%E -3.42%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 15:30
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -2.37%E -1.89%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -21.18%E -5.88%K -8.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-17 15:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-06-17 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-06-17 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-06-17 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-06-17 15:31
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-06-17 15:30
Novig1.24I 80.65%NM 78.58%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.42%2.6%2026-06-17 15:30