Language:English
Guo Hanyu v McCartney Kessler
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Guo Hanyu (Local)
Prediction 39.09%2.56fair odd
EV +33.70%
Edge +9.85%
Kelly +13.93%
Growth +4.69%
assuming max odds 3.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.00%38.14%38.93%44.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.062.512.333.4248.54%39.90%42.92%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
McCartney Kessler (Visit)
Prediction 60.91%1.64fair odd
EV +4.15%
Edge +2.43%
Kelly +5.84%
Growth +0.242%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.08%61.86%61.07%72.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.531.541.7175.19%65.15%64.94%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Guo Hanyu (Local): 39.09%; McCartney Kessler (Visit): 60.91%. For Guo Hanyu (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.56. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.42, corresponding to a positive expected value of +33.70%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.00%EV +33.70%E +9.85%K +13.93%G +4.69% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.00%EV -19.00%E -14.28%K -57.56%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-25 17:52 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.21%EV +29.79%E +8.97%K +12.84%G +3.83% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.79%EV -16.56%E -12.09%K -44.75%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-25 17:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +29.01%E +8.79%K +12.61%G +3.66% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -17.78%E -13.17%K -50.79%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-25 17:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +25.10%E +7.84%K +11.41%G +2.86% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -17.78%E -13.17%K -50.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 17:52 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV +23.15%E +7.35%K +10.77%G +2.49% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -17.78%E -13.17%K -50.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 17:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV +21.97%E +7.04%K +10.37%G +2.28% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -17.17%E -12.62%K -47.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +21.19%E +6.84%K +10.09%G +2.14% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -17.17%E -12.62%K -47.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 17:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +21.19%E +6.84%K +10.09%G +2.14% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -17.17%E -12.62%K -47.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 17:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV +20.41%E +6.63%K +9.81%G +2.00% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -15.95%E -11.56%K -41.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 17:17 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +19.24%E +6.31%K +9.38%G +1.81% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -15.95%E -11.56%K -41.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 17:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +19.24%E +6.31%K +9.38%G +1.81% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -15.95%E -11.56%K -41.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +19.24%E +6.31%K +9.38%G +1.81% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -15.95%E -11.56%K -41.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 17:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +15.33%E +5.20%K +7.86%G +1.20% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -14.73%E -10.52%K -36.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 17:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +15.33%E +5.20%K +7.86%G +1.20% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -14.73%E -10.52%K -36.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 17:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +15.33%E +5.20%K +7.86%G +1.20% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -14.73%E -10.52%K -36.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 17:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +9.46%E +3.38%K +5.26%G +0.498% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -13.51%E -9.52%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 17:58 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +1.65%E +0.633%K +1.03%G +0.017% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -9.86%E -6.66%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 17:58 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.310%E -0.121%K -0.200%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.21%E -4.03%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 17:57 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -2.26%E -0.906%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.42%E -4.88%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.26%E -0.906%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.64%E -5.76%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.22%E -1.72%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.21%E -4.03%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.22%E -1.72%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 17:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.22%E -1.72%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.17%E -2.57%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.35%E -3.10%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.13%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.42%E -4.88%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -9.69%E -4.20%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -1.33%E -0.823%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.04%E -5.35%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.55%E -1.59%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.04%E -5.35%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.55%E -1.59%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.04%E -5.35%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.55%E -1.59%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.04%E -5.35%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.38%E -2.79%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -12.04%E -5.35%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -9.86%E -6.66%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -13.99%E -6.36%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -1.33%E -0.823%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-25 17:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -13.99%E -6.36%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -1.33%E -0.823%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -13.99%E -6.36%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -2.55%E -1.59%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -13.99%E -6.36%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -2.55%E -1.59%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -14.77%E -6.78%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -1.94%E -1.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -15.95%E -7.42%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV +0.494%E +0.300%K +0.761%G +0.004% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -15.95%E -7.42%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -1.33%E -0.823%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -15.95%E -7.42%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -3.16%E -1.99%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -17.90%E -8.52%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +4.15%E +2.43%K +5.84%G +0.242% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -17.90%E -8.52%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +4.15%E +2.43%K +5.84%G +0.242% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -17.90%E -8.52%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +4.15%E +2.43%K +5.84%G +0.242% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -17.90%E -8.52%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +4.15%E +2.43%K +5.84%G +0.242% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -17.90%E -8.52%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +4.15%E +2.43%K +5.84%G +0.242% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -17.90%E -8.52%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +4.15%E +2.43%K +5.84%G +0.242% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -17.90%E -8.52%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +4.15%E +2.43%K +5.84%G +0.242% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -17.90%E -8.52%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +1.71%E +1.03%K +2.56%G +0.044% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 17:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -17.90%E -8.52%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV +0.494%E +0.300%K +0.761%G +0.004% | 8.2% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -17.90%E -8.52%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -2.55%E -1.59%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -19.47%E -9.45%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV +2.32%E +1.38%K +3.41%G +0.079% | 8.1% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -19.47%E -9.45%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV +2.32%E +1.38%K +3.41%G +0.079% | 8.1% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74% | 0.1% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 1.0% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02% | 2.1% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.54% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.46% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |