A Escola das Odds

Guo Hanyu v McCartney Kessler

Início: 2026-05-25 18:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Guo Hanyu (Local)

Previsão 39.09%2.56odd justa
EV +33.70%
Vantagem +9.85%
Kelly +13.93%
Crescimento +4.69%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.00%38.14%38.93%44.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.062.512.333.4248.54%39.90%42.92%29.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

McCartney Kessler (Visitante)

Previsão 60.91%1.64odd justa
EV +4.15%
Vantagem +2.43%
Kelly +5.84%
Crescimento +0.242%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.08%61.86%61.07%72.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.331.531.541.7175.19%65.15%64.94%58.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag3.42I 29.24%NM 28.00%EV +33.70%E +9.85%K +13.93%G +4.69%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.00%EV -19.00%E -14.28%K -57.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-25 17:52
Pinnacle3.32I 30.12%NM 29.21%EV +29.79%E +8.97%K +12.84%G +3.83%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.79%EV -16.56%E -12.09%K -44.75%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-25 17:30
BetOnline.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +29.01%E +8.79%K +12.61%G +3.66%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -17.78%E -13.17%K -50.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-25 17:30
PlayUp3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +25.10%E +7.84%K +11.41%G +2.86%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -17.78%E -13.17%K -50.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 17:52
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV +23.15%E +7.35%K +10.77%G +2.49%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -17.78%E -13.17%K -50.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 17:49
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV +21.97%E +7.04%K +10.37%G +2.28%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -17.17%E -12.62%K -47.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 17:40
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +21.19%E +6.84%K +10.09%G +2.14%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -17.17%E -12.62%K -47.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 17:30
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +21.19%E +6.84%K +10.09%G +2.14%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -17.17%E -12.62%K -47.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 17:30
SportsBet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV +20.41%E +6.63%K +9.81%G +2.00%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -15.95%E -11.56%K -41.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 17:17
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +19.24%E +6.31%K +9.38%G +1.81%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -15.95%E -11.56%K -41.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 17:50
Neds3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +19.24%E +6.31%K +9.38%G +1.81%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -15.95%E -11.56%K -41.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +19.24%E +6.31%K +9.38%G +1.81%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -15.95%E -11.56%K -41.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 17:30
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +15.33%E +5.20%K +7.86%G +1.20%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -14.73%E -10.52%K -36.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 17:30
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +15.33%E +5.20%K +7.86%G +1.20%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -14.73%E -10.52%K -36.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 17:30
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +15.33%E +5.20%K +7.86%G +1.20%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -14.73%E -10.52%K -36.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 17:30
Fanatics2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +9.46%E +3.38%K +5.26%G +0.498%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -13.51%E -9.52%K -32.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 17:58
Caesars2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +1.65%E +0.633%K +1.03%G +0.017%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -9.86%E -6.66%K -20.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 17:58
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.310%E -0.121%K -0.200%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.21%E -4.03%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 17:57
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -2.26%E -0.906%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.42%E -4.88%K -14.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 18:00
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.26%E -0.906%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.64%E -5.76%K -17.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 18:00
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.22%E -1.72%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.21%E -4.03%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 18:00
TAB2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.22%E -1.72%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 17:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.22%E -1.72%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 18:00
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.17%E -2.57%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.35%E -3.10%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 18:00
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.13%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.42%E -4.88%K -14.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-25 18:00
Coolbet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -9.69%E -4.20%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -1.33%E -0.823%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 18:00
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.04%E -5.35%K -9.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.55%E -1.59%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 18:00
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.04%E -5.35%K -9.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.55%E -1.59%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 18:00
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.04%E -5.35%K -9.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.55%E -1.59%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 18:00
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.04%E -5.35%K -9.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.38%E -2.79%K -7.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-25 18:00
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -12.04%E -5.35%K -9.63%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -9.86%E -6.66%K -20.54%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-25 18:00
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -13.99%E -6.36%K -11.66%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -1.33%E -0.823%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 17:59
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -13.99%E -6.36%K -11.66%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -1.33%E -0.823%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 18:00
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -13.99%E -6.36%K -11.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -2.55%E -1.59%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 18:00
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -13.99%E -6.36%K -11.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -2.55%E -1.59%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 18:00
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -14.77%E -6.78%K -12.52%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -1.94%E -1.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 18:00
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -15.95%E -7.42%K -13.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV +0.494%E +0.300%K +0.761%G +0.004%7.1%2026-05-25 18:00
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -15.95%E -7.42%K -13.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -1.33%E -0.823%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 18:00
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -15.95%E -7.42%K -13.87%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -3.16%E -1.99%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-25 18:00
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -17.90%E -8.52%K -16.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +4.15%E +2.43%K +5.84%G +0.242%6.1%2026-05-25 18:00
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -17.90%E -8.52%K -16.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +4.15%E +2.43%K +5.84%G +0.242%6.1%2026-05-25 18:00
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -17.90%E -8.52%K -16.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +4.15%E +2.43%K +5.84%G +0.242%6.1%2026-05-25 18:00
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -17.90%E -8.52%K -16.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +4.15%E +2.43%K +5.84%G +0.242%6.1%2026-05-25 18:00
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -17.90%E -8.52%K -16.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +4.15%E +2.43%K +5.84%G +0.242%6.1%2026-05-25 18:00
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -17.90%E -8.52%K -16.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +4.15%E +2.43%K +5.84%G +0.242%6.1%2026-05-25 18:00
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -17.90%E -8.52%K -16.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +4.15%E +2.43%K +5.84%G +0.242%6.1%2026-05-25 18:00
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -17.90%E -8.52%K -16.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +1.71%E +1.03%K +2.56%G +0.044%7.5%2026-05-25 17:59
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -17.90%E -8.52%K -16.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV +0.494%E +0.300%K +0.761%G +0.004%8.2%2026-05-25 18:00
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -17.90%E -8.52%K -16.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -2.55%E -1.59%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-25 18:00
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -19.47%E -9.45%K -18.36%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV +2.32%E +1.38%K +3.41%G +0.079%8.1%2026-05-25 18:00
Bally Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -19.47%E -9.45%K -18.36%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV +2.32%E +1.38%K +3.41%G +0.079%8.1%2026-05-25 18:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74%0.1%2026-05-25 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%1.0%2026-05-25 18:00
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%2.1%2026-05-25 18:00
Novig2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%6.0%2026-05-25 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 38.54%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.46%6.3%2026-05-25 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%7.6%2026-05-25 18:00