La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Guo Hanyu v McCartney Kessler
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Guo Hanyu (Local)
Predicción 39.09%2.56momio equitativo
EV +33.70%
Ventaja +9.85%
Kelly +13.93%
Crecimiento +4.69%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.00%38.14%38.93%44.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.062.512.333.4248.54%39.90%42.92%29.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
McCartney Kessler (Visitante)
Predicción 60.91%1.64momio equitativo
EV +4.15%
Ventaja +2.43%
Kelly +5.84%
Crecimiento +0.242%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.08%61.86%61.07%72.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.531.541.7175.19%65.15%64.94%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.00%EV +33.70%E +9.85%K +13.93%G +4.69% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.00%EV -19.00%E -14.28%K -57.56%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-25 17:52 |
| Pinnacle | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.21%EV +29.79%E +8.97%K +12.84%G +3.83% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.79%EV -16.56%E -12.09%K -44.75%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-25 17:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +29.01%E +8.79%K +12.61%G +3.66% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -17.78%E -13.17%K -50.79%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-25 17:30 |
| PlayUp | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +25.10%E +7.84%K +11.41%G +2.86% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -17.78%E -13.17%K -50.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 17:52 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV +23.15%E +7.35%K +10.77%G +2.49% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -17.78%E -13.17%K -50.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 17:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV +21.97%E +7.04%K +10.37%G +2.28% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -17.17%E -12.62%K -47.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Everygame | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +21.19%E +6.84%K +10.09%G +2.14% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -17.17%E -12.62%K -47.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 17:30 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +21.19%E +6.84%K +10.09%G +2.14% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -17.17%E -12.62%K -47.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 17:30 |
| SportsBet | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV +20.41%E +6.63%K +9.81%G +2.00% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -15.95%E -11.56%K -41.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 17:17 |
| Bet Right | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +19.24%E +6.31%K +9.38%G +1.81% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -15.95%E -11.56%K -41.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 17:50 |
| Neds | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +19.24%E +6.31%K +9.38%G +1.81% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -15.95%E -11.56%K -41.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +19.24%E +6.31%K +9.38%G +1.81% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -15.95%E -11.56%K -41.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 17:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +15.33%E +5.20%K +7.86%G +1.20% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -14.73%E -10.52%K -36.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 17:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +15.33%E +5.20%K +7.86%G +1.20% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -14.73%E -10.52%K -36.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 17:30 |
| Casumo | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +15.33%E +5.20%K +7.86%G +1.20% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -14.73%E -10.52%K -36.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 17:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +9.46%E +3.38%K +5.26%G +0.498% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -13.51%E -9.52%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 17:58 |
| Caesars | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +1.65%E +0.633%K +1.03%G +0.017% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -9.86%E -6.66%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 17:58 |
| Bovada | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.310%E -0.121%K -0.200%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.21%E -4.03%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 17:57 |
| DraftKings | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -2.26%E -0.906%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.42%E -4.88%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.26%E -0.906%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.64%E -5.76%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.22%E -1.72%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.21%E -4.03%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| TAB | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.22%E -1.72%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 17:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.22%E -1.72%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.17%E -2.57%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.35%E -3.10%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.13%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.42%E -4.88%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -9.69%E -4.20%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -1.33%E -0.823%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.04%E -5.35%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.55%E -1.59%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.04%E -5.35%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.55%E -1.59%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.04%E -5.35%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.55%E -1.59%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.04%E -5.35%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.38%E -2.79%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -12.04%E -5.35%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -9.86%E -6.66%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -13.99%E -6.36%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -1.33%E -0.823%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-25 17:59 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -13.99%E -6.36%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -1.33%E -0.823%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -13.99%E -6.36%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -2.55%E -1.59%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -13.99%E -6.36%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -2.55%E -1.59%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -14.77%E -6.78%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -1.94%E -1.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -15.95%E -7.42%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV +0.494%E +0.300%K +0.761%G +0.004% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -15.95%E -7.42%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -1.33%E -0.823%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Fliff | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -15.95%E -7.42%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -3.16%E -1.99%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Unibet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -17.90%E -8.52%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +4.15%E +2.43%K +5.84%G +0.242% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -17.90%E -8.52%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +4.15%E +2.43%K +5.84%G +0.242% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -17.90%E -8.52%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +4.15%E +2.43%K +5.84%G +0.242% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -17.90%E -8.52%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +4.15%E +2.43%K +5.84%G +0.242% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -17.90%E -8.52%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +4.15%E +2.43%K +5.84%G +0.242% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| betPARX | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -17.90%E -8.52%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +4.15%E +2.43%K +5.84%G +0.242% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -17.90%E -8.52%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +4.15%E +2.43%K +5.84%G +0.242% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -17.90%E -8.52%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +1.71%E +1.03%K +2.56%G +0.044% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 17:59 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -17.90%E -8.52%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV +0.494%E +0.300%K +0.761%G +0.004% | 8.2% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -17.90%E -8.52%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -2.55%E -1.59%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -19.47%E -9.45%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV +2.32%E +1.38%K +3.41%G +0.079% | 8.1% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Bally Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -19.47%E -9.45%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV +2.32%E +1.38%K +3.41%G +0.079% | 8.1% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74% | 0.1% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 1.0% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02% | 2.1% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Novig | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.54% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.46% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |