مدرسة الاحتمالات

Guo Hanyu v McCartney Kessler

البداية: 2026-05-25 18:15 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Guo Hanyu (المضيف)

التنبؤ 39.09%2.56السعر العادل
EV +33.70%
الأفضلية +9.85%
Kelly +13.93%
النمو +4.69%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.42

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.00%38.14%38.93%44.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.062.512.333.4248.54%39.90%42.92%29.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

McCartney Kessler (الضيف)

التنبؤ 60.91%1.64السعر العادل
EV +4.15%
الأفضلية +2.43%
Kelly +5.84%
النمو +0.242%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.71

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
55.08%61.86%61.07%72.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.331.531.541.7175.19%65.15%64.94%58.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag3.42I 29.24%NM 28.00%EV +33.70%E +9.85%K +13.93%G +4.69%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.00%EV -19.00%E -14.28%K -57.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-25 17:52
Pinnacle3.32I 30.12%NM 29.21%EV +29.79%E +8.97%K +12.84%G +3.83%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.79%EV -16.56%E -12.09%K -44.75%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-25 17:30
BetOnline.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +29.01%E +8.79%K +12.61%G +3.66%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -17.78%E -13.17%K -50.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-25 17:30
PlayUp3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +25.10%E +7.84%K +11.41%G +2.86%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -17.78%E -13.17%K -50.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 17:52
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV +23.15%E +7.35%K +10.77%G +2.49%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -17.78%E -13.17%K -50.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 17:49
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV +21.97%E +7.04%K +10.37%G +2.28%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -17.17%E -12.62%K -47.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 17:40
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +21.19%E +6.84%K +10.09%G +2.14%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -17.17%E -12.62%K -47.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 17:30
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +21.19%E +6.84%K +10.09%G +2.14%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -17.17%E -12.62%K -47.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 17:30
SportsBet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV +20.41%E +6.63%K +9.81%G +2.00%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -15.95%E -11.56%K -41.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 17:17
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +19.24%E +6.31%K +9.38%G +1.81%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -15.95%E -11.56%K -41.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 17:50
Neds3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +19.24%E +6.31%K +9.38%G +1.81%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -15.95%E -11.56%K -41.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +19.24%E +6.31%K +9.38%G +1.81%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -15.95%E -11.56%K -41.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 17:30
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +15.33%E +5.20%K +7.86%G +1.20%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -14.73%E -10.52%K -36.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 17:30
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +15.33%E +5.20%K +7.86%G +1.20%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -14.73%E -10.52%K -36.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 17:30
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +15.33%E +5.20%K +7.86%G +1.20%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -14.73%E -10.52%K -36.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 17:30
Fanatics2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +9.46%E +3.38%K +5.26%G +0.498%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -13.51%E -9.52%K -32.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 17:58
Caesars2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +1.65%E +0.633%K +1.03%G +0.017%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -9.86%E -6.66%K -20.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 17:58
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.310%E -0.121%K -0.200%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.21%E -4.03%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 17:57
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -2.26%E -0.906%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.42%E -4.88%K -14.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 18:00
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.26%E -0.906%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.64%E -5.76%K -17.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 18:00
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.22%E -1.72%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.21%E -4.03%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 18:00
TAB2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.22%E -1.72%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 17:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.22%E -1.72%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 18:00
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.17%E -2.57%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.35%E -3.10%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 18:00
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.13%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.42%E -4.88%K -14.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-25 18:00
Coolbet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -9.69%E -4.20%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -1.33%E -0.823%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 18:00
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.04%E -5.35%K -9.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.55%E -1.59%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 18:00
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.04%E -5.35%K -9.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.55%E -1.59%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 18:00
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.04%E -5.35%K -9.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.55%E -1.59%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 18:00
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.04%E -5.35%K -9.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.38%E -2.79%K -7.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-25 18:00
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -12.04%E -5.35%K -9.63%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -9.86%E -6.66%K -20.54%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-25 18:00
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -13.99%E -6.36%K -11.66%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -1.33%E -0.823%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 17:59
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -13.99%E -6.36%K -11.66%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -1.33%E -0.823%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 18:00
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -13.99%E -6.36%K -11.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -2.55%E -1.59%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 18:00
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -13.99%E -6.36%K -11.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -2.55%E -1.59%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 18:00
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -14.77%E -6.78%K -12.52%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -1.94%E -1.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 18:00
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -15.95%E -7.42%K -13.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV +0.494%E +0.300%K +0.761%G +0.004%7.1%2026-05-25 18:00
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -15.95%E -7.42%K -13.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -1.33%E -0.823%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 18:00
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -15.95%E -7.42%K -13.87%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -3.16%E -1.99%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-25 18:00
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -17.90%E -8.52%K -16.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +4.15%E +2.43%K +5.84%G +0.242%6.1%2026-05-25 18:00
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -17.90%E -8.52%K -16.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +4.15%E +2.43%K +5.84%G +0.242%6.1%2026-05-25 18:00
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -17.90%E -8.52%K -16.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +4.15%E +2.43%K +5.84%G +0.242%6.1%2026-05-25 18:00
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -17.90%E -8.52%K -16.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +4.15%E +2.43%K +5.84%G +0.242%6.1%2026-05-25 18:00
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -17.90%E -8.52%K -16.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +4.15%E +2.43%K +5.84%G +0.242%6.1%2026-05-25 18:00
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -17.90%E -8.52%K -16.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +4.15%E +2.43%K +5.84%G +0.242%6.1%2026-05-25 18:00
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -17.90%E -8.52%K -16.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +4.15%E +2.43%K +5.84%G +0.242%6.1%2026-05-25 18:00
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -17.90%E -8.52%K -16.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +1.71%E +1.03%K +2.56%G +0.044%7.5%2026-05-25 17:59
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -17.90%E -8.52%K -16.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV +0.494%E +0.300%K +0.761%G +0.004%8.2%2026-05-25 18:00
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -17.90%E -8.52%K -16.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -2.55%E -1.59%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-25 18:00
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -19.47%E -9.45%K -18.36%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV +2.32%E +1.38%K +3.41%G +0.079%8.1%2026-05-25 18:00
Bally Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -19.47%E -9.45%K -18.36%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV +2.32%E +1.38%K +3.41%G +0.079%8.1%2026-05-25 18:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74%0.1%2026-05-25 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%1.0%2026-05-25 18:00
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%2.1%2026-05-25 18:00
Novig2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%6.0%2026-05-25 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 38.54%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.46%6.3%2026-05-25 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%7.6%2026-05-25 18:00