Language:English
Sara Bejlek v Madison Keys
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sara Bejlek (Local)
Prediction 35.34%2.83fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.373%
Kelly -0.580%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.73%35.44%35.37%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.662.652.8040.82%37.60%37.74%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Madison Keys (Visit)
Prediction 64.66%1.55fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -4.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%64.56%64.63%66.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.471.471.5171.43%68.16%68.03%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sara Bejlek (Local): 35.34%; Madison Keys (Visit): 64.66%. For Sara Bejlek (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.83. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -1.04%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -1.04%E -0.373%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-21 16:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.04%E -0.373%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 17:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV -1.75%E -0.630%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -2.37%E -1.57%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-21 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -1.75%E -0.630%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-21 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -1.75%E -0.630%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-21 16:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -2.46%E -0.890%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.60%E -3.83%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-21 16:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 16:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 16:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 17:03 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-20 20:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.48%E -6.77%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.48%E -6.77%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.48%E -6.77%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.00%EV -3.52%E -1.29%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.00%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.00%EV -3.52%E -1.29%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.00%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 16:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.84%EV -3.52%E -1.29%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.16%EV -5.60%E -3.83%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 15:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-21 16:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-21 15:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 16:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -8.19%E -5.76%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.95%EV -5.28%E -1.97%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.05%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-21 17:02 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 17:03 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 16:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.60%E -3.83%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-21 16:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-21 17:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -7.05%E -2.68%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 16:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -7.05%E -2.68%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 17:02 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -7.05%E -2.68%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 17:02 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.40%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -7.40%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-21 16:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.40%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-21 17:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.40%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-21 17:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -7.76%E -2.97%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 17:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-21 17:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -8.19%E -5.76%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.88%E -3.87%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.88%E -3.87%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -9.88%E -3.87%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -9.88%E -3.87%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -10.23%E -4.03%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-21 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-21 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -13.41%E -5.47%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -5.60%E -3.83%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-21 17:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 0.5% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 0.5% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90% | 2.5% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |