Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sara Bejlek v Madison Keys

Início: 2026-08-21 17:07 UTC

Final: Sara Bejlek 2–1 Madison Keys

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sara Bejlek (Local)

Previsão 35.34%2.83odd justa
EV -1.04%
Vantagem -0.373%
Kelly -0.580%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.73%35.44%35.37%37.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.452.662.652.8040.82%37.60%37.74%35.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Madison Keys (Visitante)

Previsão 64.66%1.55odd justa
EV -2.37%
Vantagem -1.57%
Kelly -4.64%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.51

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
62.50%64.56%64.63%66.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.471.471.5171.43%68.16%68.03%66.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Sara Bejlek (Local): 35.34%; Madison Keys (Visitante): 64.66%. Para Sara Bejlek (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.83. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.80, com valor esperado de -1.04%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -1.04%E -0.373%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-21 16:54
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.04%E -0.373%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 17:04
Pinnacle🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV -1.75%E -0.630%K -0.983%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -2.37%E -1.57%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-21 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -1.75%E -0.630%K -0.983%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-21 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -1.75%E -0.630%K -0.983%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-21 16:50
FanDuel🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -2.46%E -0.890%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-21 17:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.60%E -3.83%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 16:55
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 17:05
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 16:20
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 16:55
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 17:03
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 17:05
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-20 20:44
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.48%E -6.77%K -23.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-21 17:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.48%E -6.77%K -23.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-21 17:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.48%E -6.77%K -23.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-21 17:05
DraftKings🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.00%EV -3.52%E -1.29%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.00%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 17:05
BetUS🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.00%EV -3.52%E -1.29%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.00%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 16:44
GTbets🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.84%EV -3.52%E -1.29%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.16%EV -5.60%E -3.83%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 15:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 16:59
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 15:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 16:59
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 17:05
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 17:05
ReBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 17:05
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 17:05
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -8.19%E -5.76%K -19.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-21 17:05
SportsBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.95%EV -5.28%E -1.97%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.05%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-21 17:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 17:02
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 17:03
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 16:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.60%E -3.83%K -12.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-21 16:55
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 17:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -7.05%E -2.68%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 16:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -7.05%E -2.68%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 17:02
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -7.05%E -2.68%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 17:02
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.40%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -7.40%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 16:59
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.40%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-21 17:04
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.40%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-21 17:04
Coolbet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -7.76%E -2.97%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 17:04
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 17:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 17:05
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 17:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 17:05
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 17:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 17:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 17:05
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 17:05
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 16:50
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 17:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-21 17:05
Fliff🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -8.19%E -5.76%K -19.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 17:05
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.88%E -3.87%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-21 17:05
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.88%E -3.87%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-21 17:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -9.88%E -3.87%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-21 17:05
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -9.88%E -3.87%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-21 17:05
BetMGM🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -10.23%E -4.03%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-21 17:05
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 16:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -13.41%E -5.47%K -9.25%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -5.60%E -3.83%K -12.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-21 17:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-08-21 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-08-21 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-08-21 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%0.5%2026-08-21 17:05
ProphetX◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%0.5%2026-08-21 17:05
Novig◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-08-21 17:05
Smarkets◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%2.5%2026-08-21 17:05