StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Sara Bejlek v Madison Keys

Matchstart: 2026-08-21 17:07 UTC

Slutresultat: Sara Bejlek 2–1 Madison Keys

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

62 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Sara Bejlek (Hemma)

Prognos 35.34%2.83rättvist odds
EV -1.04%
Fördel -0.373%
Kelly -0.580%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
33.73%35.44%35.37%37.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.452.662.652.8040.82%37.60%37.74%35.71%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Madison Keys (Borta)

Prognos 64.66%1.55rättvist odds
EV -2.37%
Fördel -1.57%
Kelly -4.64%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.51

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
62.50%64.56%64.63%66.27%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.401.471.471.5171.43%68.16%68.03%66.23%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Sara Bejlek (Hemma): 35.34%; Madison Keys (Borta): 64.66%. För Sara Bejlek (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.83. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 2.80, med väntevärdet -1.04%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (62 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -1.04%E -0.373%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-21 16:54
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.04%E -0.373%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 17:04
Pinnacle🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV -1.75%E -0.630%K -0.983%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -2.37%E -1.57%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-21 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -1.75%E -0.630%K -0.983%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-21 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -1.75%E -0.630%K -0.983%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-21 16:50
FanDuel🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -2.46%E -0.890%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-21 17:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.60%E -3.83%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 16:55
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 17:05
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 16:20
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 16:55
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 17:03
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 17:05
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-20 20:44
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.48%E -6.77%K -23.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-21 17:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.48%E -6.77%K -23.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-21 17:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.48%E -6.77%K -23.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-21 17:05
DraftKings🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.00%EV -3.52%E -1.29%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.00%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 17:05
BetUS🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.00%EV -3.52%E -1.29%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.00%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 16:44
GTbets🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.84%EV -3.52%E -1.29%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.16%EV -5.60%E -3.83%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 15:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 16:59
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 15:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 16:59
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 17:05
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 17:05
ReBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 17:05
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 17:05
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -8.19%E -5.76%K -19.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-21 17:05
SportsBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.95%EV -5.28%E -1.97%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.05%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-21 17:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 17:02
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 17:03
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 16:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.60%E -3.83%K -12.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-21 16:55
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 17:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -7.05%E -2.68%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 16:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -7.05%E -2.68%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 17:02
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -7.05%E -2.68%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 17:02
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.40%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -7.40%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 16:59
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.40%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-21 17:04
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.40%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-21 17:04
Coolbet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -7.76%E -2.97%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 17:04
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 17:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 17:05
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 17:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 17:05
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 17:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 17:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 17:05
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 17:05
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 16:50
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 17:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-21 17:05
Fliff🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -8.19%E -5.76%K -19.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 17:05
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.88%E -3.87%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-21 17:05
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.88%E -3.87%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-21 17:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -9.88%E -3.87%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-21 17:05
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -9.88%E -3.87%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-21 17:05
BetMGM🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -10.23%E -4.03%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-21 17:05
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 16:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -13.41%E -5.47%K -9.25%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -5.60%E -3.83%K -12.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-21 17:04
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-08-21 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-08-21 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-08-21 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%0.5%2026-08-21 17:05
ProphetX◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%0.5%2026-08-21 17:05
Novig◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-08-21 17:05
Smarkets◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%2.5%2026-08-21 17:05