Idioma:Español
Sara Bejlek v Madison Keys
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sara Bejlek (Local)
Predicción 35.34%2.83momio equitativo
EV -1.04%
Ventaja -0.373%
Kelly -0.580%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.73%35.44%35.37%37.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.452.662.652.8040.82%37.60%37.74%35.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Madison Keys (Visitante)
Predicción 64.66%1.55momio equitativo
EV -2.37%
Ventaja -1.57%
Kelly -4.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.50%64.56%64.63%66.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.471.471.5171.43%68.16%68.03%66.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Sara Bejlek (Local): 35.34%; Madison Keys (Visitante): 64.66%. Para Sara Bejlek (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.83. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.80, con un valor esperado de -1.04%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -1.04%E -0.373%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-21 16:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.04%E -0.373%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 17:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV -1.75%E -0.630%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -2.37%E -1.57%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-21 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -1.75%E -0.630%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-21 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -1.75%E -0.630%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-21 16:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -2.46%E -0.890%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.60%E -3.83%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-21 16:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 16:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 16:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 17:03 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-20 20:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.48%E -6.77%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.48%E -6.77%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.48%E -6.77%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.00%EV -3.52%E -1.29%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.00%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.00%EV -3.52%E -1.29%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.00%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 16:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.84%EV -3.52%E -1.29%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.16%EV -5.60%E -3.83%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 15:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-21 16:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-21 15:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 16:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -8.19%E -5.76%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.95%EV -5.28%E -1.97%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.05%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-21 17:02 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 17:03 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 16:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.60%E -3.83%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-21 16:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-21 17:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -7.05%E -2.68%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 16:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -7.05%E -2.68%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 17:02 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -7.05%E -2.68%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 17:02 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.40%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -7.40%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-21 16:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.40%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-21 17:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.40%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-21 17:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -7.76%E -2.97%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 17:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-21 17:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -8.19%E -5.76%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.88%E -3.87%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.88%E -3.87%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -9.88%E -3.87%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -9.88%E -3.87%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -10.23%E -4.03%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-21 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-21 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -13.41%E -5.47%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -5.60%E -3.83%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-21 17:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 0.5% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 0.5% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90% | 2.5% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |