Langue:Français
Sara Bejlek v Madison Keys
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Sara Bejlek (Local)
Prévision 35.34%2.83cote équitable
EV -1.04%
Avantage -0.373%
Kelly -0.580%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.73%35.44%35.37%37.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.452.662.652.8040.82%37.60%37.74%35.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Madison Keys (Visiteur)
Prévision 64.66%1.55cote équitable
EV -2.37%
Avantage -1.57%
Kelly -4.64%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.51
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.50%64.56%64.63%66.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.471.471.5171.43%68.16%68.03%66.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Sara Bejlek (Local) : 35.34% ; Madison Keys (Visiteur) : 64.66%. Pour Sara Bejlek (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.83. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.80, pour une espérance de -1.04% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -1.04%E -0.373%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-21 16:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.04%E -0.373%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 17:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV -1.75%E -0.630%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -2.37%E -1.57%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-21 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -1.75%E -0.630%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-21 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -1.75%E -0.630%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-21 16:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -2.46%E -0.890%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.60%E -3.83%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-21 16:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 16:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 16:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 17:03 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-20 20:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.48%E -6.77%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.48%E -6.77%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.48%E -6.77%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.00%EV -3.52%E -1.29%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.00%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.00%EV -3.52%E -1.29%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.00%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 16:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.84%EV -3.52%E -1.29%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.16%EV -5.60%E -3.83%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 15:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-21 16:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-21 15:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 16:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -8.19%E -5.76%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.95%EV -5.28%E -1.97%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.05%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-21 17:02 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 17:03 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 16:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.60%E -3.83%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-21 16:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-21 17:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -7.05%E -2.68%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 16:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -7.05%E -2.68%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 17:02 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -7.05%E -2.68%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 17:02 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.40%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -7.40%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-21 16:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.40%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-21 17:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.40%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-21 17:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -7.76%E -2.97%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 17:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-21 17:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -8.19%E -5.76%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.88%E -3.87%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.88%E -3.87%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -9.88%E -3.87%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -9.88%E -3.87%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -10.23%E -4.03%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-21 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-21 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -13.41%E -5.47%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -5.60%E -3.83%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-21 17:04 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 0.5% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 0.5% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90% | 2.5% | 2026-08-21 17:05 |