Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Marta Kostyuk v Sofia Kenin

2026-08-16 15:00 UTC — WTA Cincinnati Open

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Marta Kostyuk (Local)

Prediction 86.91%1.15fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -13.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.08%86.64%87.03%88.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.091.081.1394.34%91.97%92.59%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sofia Kenin (Visit)

Prediction 13.09%7.64fair odd
EV +10.06%
Edge +1.20%
Kelly +1.36%
Growth +0.137%

assuming max odds 8.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.38%13.36%12.97%16.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.407.297.508.4118.52%13.72%13.33%11.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Marta Kostyuk (Local): 86.91%; Sofia Kenin (Visit): 13.09%. For Sofia Kenin (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.64. 24 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 8.41, producing a positive expected value of +10.06%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.62%EV -6.13%E -5.68%K -76.67%G +0.000%8.41I 11.89%NM 11.38%EV +10.06%E +1.20%K +1.36%G +0.137%4.5%2026-08-15 11:25
Coolbet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 88.24%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -43.95%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.76%EV +7.97%E +0.966%K +1.10%G +0.088%3.0%2026-08-15 11:30
Unibet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.13%E -5.68%K -76.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +4.69%E +0.587%K +0.671%G +0.031%5.1%2026-08-15 11:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.13%E -5.68%K -76.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +4.69%E +0.587%K +0.671%G +0.031%5.1%2026-08-15 11:20
BetRivers🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.13%E -5.68%K -76.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +4.69%E +0.587%K +0.671%G +0.031%5.1%2026-08-15 11:19
Casumo🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.13%E -5.68%K -76.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +4.69%E +0.587%K +0.671%G +0.031%5.1%2026-08-15 11:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.13%E -5.68%K -76.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +4.69%E +0.587%K +0.671%G +0.031%5.1%2026-08-15 11:20
Grosvenor🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.13%E -5.68%K -76.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +4.69%E +0.587%K +0.671%G +0.031%5.1%2026-08-15 11:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.13%E -5.68%K -76.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +4.69%E +0.587%K +0.671%G +0.031%5.1%2026-08-15 11:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.13%E -5.68%K -76.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +4.69%E +0.587%K +0.671%G +0.031%5.1%2026-08-15 11:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.13%E -5.68%K -76.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +4.69%E +0.587%K +0.671%G +0.031%5.1%2026-08-15 11:19
TABtouch🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.13%E -5.68%K -76.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +4.69%E +0.587%K +0.671%G +0.031%5.1%2026-08-15 11:19
Betway🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.13%E -5.68%K -76.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +4.69%E +0.587%K +0.671%G +0.031%5.1%2026-08-15 12:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.13%E -5.68%K -76.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +4.69%E +0.587%K +0.671%G +0.031%5.1%2026-08-15 11:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.13%E -5.68%K -76.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +4.69%E +0.587%K +0.671%G +0.031%5.1%2026-08-15 11:19
Bally Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.13%E -5.68%K -76.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +4.69%E +0.587%K +0.671%G +0.031%5.1%2026-08-15 11:24
betPARX🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.13%E -5.68%K -76.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +4.69%E +0.587%K +0.671%G +0.031%5.1%2026-08-15 11:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.13%E -5.68%K -76.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +4.69%E +0.587%K +0.671%G +0.031%5.1%2026-08-15 11:19
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.87%E -7.43%K -131.20%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +4.69%E +0.587%K +0.671%G +0.031%6.8%2026-08-15 11:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.87%E -7.43%K -131.20%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +4.69%E +0.587%K +0.671%G +0.031%6.8%2026-08-15 11:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.87%E -7.43%K -131.20%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +4.69%E +0.587%K +0.671%G +0.031%6.8%2026-08-15 11:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -6.13%E -5.68%K -76.67%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV +2.08%E +0.266%K +0.305%G +0.006%5.4%2026-08-15 11:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -43.95%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV +1.42%E +0.183%K +0.211%G +0.003%3.8%2026-08-15 13:29
BetAnything🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -6.13%E -5.68%K -76.67%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV +0.768%E +0.100%K +0.115%G +0.001%5.6%2026-08-15 13:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -43.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.85%E -0.247%K -0.285%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 13:29
Bovada🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.26%E -4.83%K -58.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.85%E -0.247%K -0.285%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 11:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.13%E -5.68%K -76.67%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -1.85%E -0.247%K -0.285%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 11:25
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.13%E -5.68%K -76.67%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -1.85%E -0.247%K -0.285%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 11:25
Coral🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.13%E -5.68%K -76.67%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -1.85%E -0.247%K -0.285%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.13%E -5.68%K -76.67%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -1.85%E -0.247%K -0.285%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.87%E -7.43%K -131.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -1.85%E -0.247%K -0.285%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 11:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.01%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -43.95%G +0.000%7.37I 13.57%NM 12.99%EV -3.55%E -0.482%K -0.557%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 11:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.01%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -43.95%G +0.000%7.37I 13.57%NM 12.99%EV -3.55%E -0.482%K -0.557%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 11:35
BetMGM🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -6.13%E -5.68%K -76.67%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -5.12%E -0.706%K -0.819%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 10:49
GTbets🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.60%EV -2.66%E -2.37%K -22.14%G +0.000%7.24I 13.81%NM 13.40%EV -5.25%E -0.725%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 11:29
1xBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 86.43%EV -1.79%E -1.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.57%EV -5.78%E -0.802%K -0.932%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-15 13:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.17%EV -7.87%E -7.43%K -131.20%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.83%EV -5.78%E -0.802%K -0.932%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 11:30
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.06%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV -7.08%E -0.998%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 13:09
DraftKings🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.59%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -43.95%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.41%EV -7.08%E -0.998%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 13:09
Sky Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -43.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.39%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 13:09
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -43.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.39%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 13:09
betfred_uk🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.13%E -5.68%K -76.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -8.39%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 11:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.26%E -4.83%K -58.49%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -11.66%E -1.73%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 10:54
Neds🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.26%E -4.83%K -58.49%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -11.66%E -1.73%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 10:49
PlayUp🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -43.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.94%E -2.30%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 13:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.26%E -4.83%K -58.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -14.94%E -2.30%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 11:29
LeoVegas🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.13%E -5.68%K -76.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -14.94%E -2.30%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 11:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.56%EV -6.13%E -5.68%K -76.67%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -16.24%E -2.54%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 11:28
Marathon Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -2.66%E -2.37%K -22.14%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -18.21%E -2.91%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 13:34
TAB🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -21.48%E -3.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 13:13
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -21.48%E -3.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 11:19
betano_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -43.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -21.48%E -3.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 11:00
Bet Victor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -43.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -21.48%E -3.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 10:58
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -43.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -21.48%E -3.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:09
ReBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 84.31%EV -7.00%E -6.54%K -100.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.69%EV -24.75%E -4.30%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 11:30
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -2.66%E -2.37%K -22.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -28.02%E -5.10%K -6.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 10:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 83.46%EV -7.00%E -6.54%K -100.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.54%EV -29.33%E -5.43%K -6.67%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-15 11:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 88.66%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.34%2.5%2026-08-15 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 88.66%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.34%2.5%2026-08-15 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 88.66%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.34%2.5%2026-08-15 12:55
Matchbook1.08I 92.59%NM 89.07%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.93%4.0%2026-08-15 11:30
Novig1.08I 92.59%NM 87.28%7.41I 13.50%NM 12.72%6.1%2026-08-15 13:20

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