Language:English
Marta Kostyuk v Sofia Kenin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Marta Kostyuk (Local)
Prediction 87.41%1.14fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -2.68%
Kelly -27.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.11%87.36%87.41%89.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.091.091.1195.24%92.13%91.74%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sofia Kenin (Visit)
Prediction 12.59%7.94fair odd
EV +13.32%
Edge +1.48%
Kelly +1.66%
Growth +0.222%
assuming max odds 9.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.80%12.64%12.59%14.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.237.009.0016.67%13.83%14.29%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Marta Kostyuk (Local): 87.41%; Sofia Kenin (Visit): 12.59%. For Sofia Kenin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.94. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.32%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%EV +13.32%E +1.48%K +1.66%G +0.222% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 19:02 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +7.02%E +0.826%K +0.936%G +0.066% | 3.5% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +7.02%E +0.826%K +0.936%G +0.066% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.47%E -6.05%K -92.46%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +7.02%E +0.826%K +0.936%G +0.066% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 17:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV +5.76%E +0.686%K +0.779%G +0.045% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 18:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.28%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000% | 8.21I 12.18%NM 11.72%EV +3.37%E +0.410%K +0.467%G +0.016% | 3.9% | 2026-08-16 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.22%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000% | 8.16I 12.25%NM 11.78%EV +2.74%E +0.336%K +0.383%G +0.010% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.22%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000% | 8.16I 12.25%NM 11.78%EV +2.74%E +0.336%K +0.383%G +0.010% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 18:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +0.725%E +0.091%K +0.104%G +0.001% | 3.4% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +0.725%E +0.091%K +0.104%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 18:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +0.725%E +0.091%K +0.104%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 17:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +0.725%E +0.091%K +0.104%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 17:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -1.79%E -0.230%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 18:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 18:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.47%E -6.05%K -92.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.47%E -6.05%K -92.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.35%E -6.93%K -122.44%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.35%E -6.93%K -122.44%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.35%E -6.93%K -122.44%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.24%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.76%EV -6.20%E -0.832%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 18:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.16%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV -6.83%E -0.923%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -8.72%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 10:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -8.72%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -8.72%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.69%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.31%EV -10.61%E -1.49%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -2.98%E -2.68%K -27.05%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -11.87%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -11.87%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.87%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.87%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.87%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.87%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 13:53 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.87%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 18:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.60%EV -7.35%E -6.93%K -122.44%G +0.000% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 13.40%EV -13.75%E -2.01%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 08:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 08:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 08:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 08:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 08:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 08:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 08:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 08:58 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 08:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 10:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -2.98%E -2.68%K -27.05%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -15.64%E -2.33%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -18.16%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -18.16%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -18.16%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -18.16%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -18.16%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -18.16%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 18:58 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -18.16%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 04:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -18.16%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 04:48 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -2.98%E -2.68%K -27.05%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -18.79%E -2.91%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.38%EV -6.47%E -6.05%K -92.46%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV -21.31%E -3.41%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 85.11%EV -8.22%E -7.83%K -164.40%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -24.46%E -4.08%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.59% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 11.41% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.80% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.20% | 1.5% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.80% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.20% | 1.5% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.08% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.92% | 2.3% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.98% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.02% | 3.1% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |