Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Marta Kostyuk v Sofia Kenin

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-16 19:08 UTC

Score final : Marta Kostyuk 2–1 Sofia Kenin

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Marta Kostyuk (Local)

Prévision 87.41%1.14cote équitable
EV -2.98%
Avantage -2.68%
Kelly -27.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
85.11%87.36%87.41%89.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.051.091.091.1195.24%92.13%91.74%90.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Sofia Kenin (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.59%7.94cote équitable
EV +13.32%
Avantage +1.48%
Kelly +1.66%
Croissance +0.222%

avec la cote maximale 9.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.80%12.64%12.59%14.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.007.237.009.0016.67%13.83%14.29%11.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Marta Kostyuk (Local) : 87.41% ; Sofia Kenin (Visiteur) : 12.59%. Pour Sofia Kenin (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.94. 12 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 9.00, soit une espérance positive de +13.32%.

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%EV +13.32%E +1.48%K +1.66%G +0.222%2.9%2026-08-16 19:02
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +7.02%E +0.826%K +0.936%G +0.066%3.5%2026-08-16 18:54
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +7.02%E +0.826%K +0.936%G +0.066%4.4%2026-08-16 19:05
Betway🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.47%E -6.05%K -92.46%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +7.02%E +0.826%K +0.936%G +0.066%5.2%2026-08-16 17:44
FanDuel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV +5.76%E +0.686%K +0.779%G +0.045%4.5%2026-08-16 18:55
Pinnacle🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.28%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%8.21I 12.18%NM 11.72%EV +3.37%E +0.410%K +0.467%G +0.016%3.9%2026-08-16 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.22%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%8.16I 12.25%NM 11.78%EV +2.74%E +0.336%K +0.383%G +0.010%4.0%2026-08-16 18:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.22%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%8.16I 12.25%NM 11.78%EV +2.74%E +0.336%K +0.383%G +0.010%4.0%2026-08-16 18:55
DraftKings🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +0.725%E +0.091%K +0.104%G +0.001%3.4%2026-08-16 19:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +0.725%E +0.091%K +0.104%G +0.001%4.2%2026-08-16 18:55
Sky Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +0.725%E +0.091%K +0.104%G +0.001%5.1%2026-08-16 17:45
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +0.725%E +0.091%K +0.104%G +0.001%5.1%2026-08-16 17:45
Fanatics🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -1.79%E -0.230%K -0.264%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 18:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 16:50
Coral🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 18:54
BetUS🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 16:50
betfred_uk🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.47%E -6.05%K -92.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 19:00
William Hill🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.47%E -6.05%K -92.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 19:00
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.35%E -6.93%K -122.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 19:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.35%E -6.93%K -122.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 19:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.35%E -6.93%K -122.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 19:00
BetAnything🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.24%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.76%EV -6.20%E -0.832%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 18:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.16%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV -6.83%E -0.923%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 18:54
BetMGM🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -8.72%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 10:49
NordicBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -8.72%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 18:54
Betsson🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -8.72%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 18:54
LeoVegas🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.69%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.31%EV -10.61%E -1.49%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 19:05
Bovada🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -2.98%E -2.68%K -27.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -11.87%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-16 18:54
PlayUp🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -11.87%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 19:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.87%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 19:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.87%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 19:05
TAB🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.87%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 16:49
Caesars🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.87%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 13:53
SportsBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.87%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 18:55
Fliff🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.60%EV -7.35%E -6.93%K -122.44%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.40%EV -13.75%E -2.01%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 19:05
Unibet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 08:59
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 08:59
Casumo🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 08:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 08:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 08:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 08:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 08:59
betPARX🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 08:58
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 08:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 10:54
Neds🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 10:49
1xBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -2.98%E -2.68%K -27.05%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -15.64%E -2.33%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 19:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -18.16%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 19:05
Grosvenor🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -18.16%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 19:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -18.16%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 19:04
TABtouch🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -18.16%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 19:05
Bally Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -18.16%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 19:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -18.16%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 18:58
betano_uk🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -18.16%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 04:45
Bet Victor🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -18.16%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 04:48
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -2.98%E -2.68%K -27.05%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -18.79%E -2.91%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.38%EV -6.47%E -6.05%K -92.46%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV -21.31%E -3.41%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 19:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 85.11%EV -8.22%E -7.83%K -164.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -24.46%E -4.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 19:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.59%8.70I 11.49%NM 11.41%0.8%2026-08-16 19:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-08-16 19:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-08-16 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 88.80%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.20%1.5%2026-08-16 19:05
Matchbook◎1.11I 90.09%NM 88.80%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.20%1.5%2026-08-16 19:05
ProphetX◎1.11I 90.09%NM 88.08%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.92%2.3%2026-08-16 19:05
Smarkets◎1.09I 91.74%NM 88.98%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.02%3.1%2026-08-16 19:05