StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Marta Kostyuk v Sofia Kenin

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-16 19:08 UTC

Endstand: Marta Kostyuk 2–1 Sofia Kenin

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

61 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Marta Kostyuk (Heim)

Prognose 87.41%1.14faire Quote
EV -2.98%
Vorteil -2.68%
Kelly -27.05%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.11

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
85.11%87.36%87.41%89.20%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.051.091.091.1195.24%92.13%91.74%90.09%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Sofia Kenin (Auswärts)

Prognose 12.59%7.94faire Quote
EV +13.32%
Vorteil +1.48%
Kelly +1.66%
Wachstum +0.222%

bei einer Höchstquote von 9.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
10.80%12.64%12.59%14.89%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
6.007.237.009.0016.67%13.83%14.29%11.11%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Marta Kostyuk (Heim): 87.41%; Sofia Kenin (Auswärts): 12.59%. Für Sofia Kenin (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 7.94. 12 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 9.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +13.32%.

Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Coolbet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%EV +13.32%E +1.48%K +1.66%G +0.222%2.9%2026-08-16 19:02
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +7.02%E +0.826%K +0.936%G +0.066%3.5%2026-08-16 18:54
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +7.02%E +0.826%K +0.936%G +0.066%4.4%2026-08-16 19:05
Betway🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.47%E -6.05%K -92.46%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +7.02%E +0.826%K +0.936%G +0.066%5.2%2026-08-16 17:44
FanDuel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV +5.76%E +0.686%K +0.779%G +0.045%4.5%2026-08-16 18:55
Pinnacle🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.28%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%8.21I 12.18%NM 11.72%EV +3.37%E +0.410%K +0.467%G +0.016%3.9%2026-08-16 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.22%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%8.16I 12.25%NM 11.78%EV +2.74%E +0.336%K +0.383%G +0.010%4.0%2026-08-16 18:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.22%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%8.16I 12.25%NM 11.78%EV +2.74%E +0.336%K +0.383%G +0.010%4.0%2026-08-16 18:55
DraftKings🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +0.725%E +0.091%K +0.104%G +0.001%3.4%2026-08-16 19:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +0.725%E +0.091%K +0.104%G +0.001%4.2%2026-08-16 18:55
Sky Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +0.725%E +0.091%K +0.104%G +0.001%5.1%2026-08-16 17:45
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +0.725%E +0.091%K +0.104%G +0.001%5.1%2026-08-16 17:45
Fanatics🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -1.79%E -0.230%K -0.264%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 18:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 16:50
Coral🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 18:54
BetUS🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 16:50
betfred_uk🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.47%E -6.05%K -92.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 19:00
William Hill🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.47%E -6.05%K -92.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 19:00
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.35%E -6.93%K -122.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 19:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.35%E -6.93%K -122.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 19:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.35%E -6.93%K -122.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 19:00
BetAnything🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.24%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.76%EV -6.20%E -0.832%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 18:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.16%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV -6.83%E -0.923%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 18:54
BetMGM🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -8.72%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 10:49
NordicBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -8.72%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 18:54
Betsson🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -8.72%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 18:54
LeoVegas🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.69%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.31%EV -10.61%E -1.49%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 19:05
Bovada🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -2.98%E -2.68%K -27.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -11.87%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-16 18:54
PlayUp🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -11.87%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 19:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.87%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 19:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.87%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 19:05
TAB🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.87%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 16:49
Caesars🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.87%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 13:53
SportsBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.87%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 18:55
Fliff🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.60%EV -7.35%E -6.93%K -122.44%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.40%EV -13.75%E -2.01%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 19:05
Unibet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 08:59
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 08:59
Casumo🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 08:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 08:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 08:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 08:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 08:59
betPARX🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 08:58
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 08:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 10:54
Neds🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 10:49
1xBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -2.98%E -2.68%K -27.05%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -15.64%E -2.33%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 19:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -18.16%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 19:05
Grosvenor🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -18.16%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 19:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -18.16%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 19:04
TABtouch🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -18.16%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 19:05
Bally Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -18.16%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 19:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -18.16%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 18:58
betano_uk🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -18.16%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 04:45
Bet Victor🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -18.16%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 04:48
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -2.98%E -2.68%K -27.05%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -18.79%E -2.91%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.38%EV -6.47%E -6.05%K -92.46%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV -21.31%E -3.41%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 19:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 85.11%EV -8.22%E -7.83%K -164.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -24.46%E -4.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 19:05
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Novig◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.59%8.70I 11.49%NM 11.41%0.8%2026-08-16 19:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-08-16 19:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-08-16 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 88.80%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.20%1.5%2026-08-16 19:05
Matchbook◎1.11I 90.09%NM 88.80%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.20%1.5%2026-08-16 19:05
ProphetX◎1.11I 90.09%NM 88.08%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.92%2.3%2026-08-16 19:05
Smarkets◎1.09I 91.74%NM 88.98%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.02%3.1%2026-08-16 19:05