Idioma:Español
Marta Kostyuk v Sofia Kenin
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Marta Kostyuk (Local)
Predicción 87.41%1.14momio equitativo
EV -2.98%
Ventaja -2.68%
Kelly -27.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.11
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
85.11%87.36%87.41%89.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.051.091.091.1195.24%92.13%91.74%90.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Sofia Kenin (Visitante)
Predicción 12.59%7.94momio equitativo
EV +13.32%
Ventaja +1.48%
Kelly +1.66%
Crecimiento +0.222%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.80%12.64%12.59%14.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.007.237.009.0016.67%13.83%14.29%11.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Marta Kostyuk (Local): 87.41%; Sofia Kenin (Visitante): 12.59%. Para Sofia Kenin (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 7.94. 12 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 9.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +13.32%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%EV +13.32%E +1.48%K +1.66%G +0.222% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 19:02 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +7.02%E +0.826%K +0.936%G +0.066% | 3.5% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +7.02%E +0.826%K +0.936%G +0.066% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.47%E -6.05%K -92.46%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +7.02%E +0.826%K +0.936%G +0.066% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 17:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV +5.76%E +0.686%K +0.779%G +0.045% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 18:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.28%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000% | 8.21I 12.18%NM 11.72%EV +3.37%E +0.410%K +0.467%G +0.016% | 3.9% | 2026-08-16 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.22%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000% | 8.16I 12.25%NM 11.78%EV +2.74%E +0.336%K +0.383%G +0.010% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.22%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000% | 8.16I 12.25%NM 11.78%EV +2.74%E +0.336%K +0.383%G +0.010% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 18:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +0.725%E +0.091%K +0.104%G +0.001% | 3.4% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +0.725%E +0.091%K +0.104%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 18:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +0.725%E +0.091%K +0.104%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 17:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +0.725%E +0.091%K +0.104%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 17:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -1.79%E -0.230%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 18:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 18:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.47%E -6.05%K -92.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.47%E -6.05%K -92.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.35%E -6.93%K -122.44%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.35%E -6.93%K -122.44%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.35%E -6.93%K -122.44%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.24%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.76%EV -6.20%E -0.832%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 18:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.16%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV -6.83%E -0.923%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -8.72%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 10:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -8.72%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -8.72%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.69%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.31%EV -10.61%E -1.49%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -2.98%E -2.68%K -27.05%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -11.87%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -11.87%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.87%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.87%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.87%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.87%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 13:53 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.87%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 18:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.60%EV -7.35%E -6.93%K -122.44%G +0.000% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 13.40%EV -13.75%E -2.01%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 08:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 08:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 08:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 08:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 08:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 08:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 08:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 08:58 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 08:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 10:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -2.98%E -2.68%K -27.05%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -15.64%E -2.33%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -18.16%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -18.16%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -18.16%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -18.16%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -18.16%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -18.16%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 18:58 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -18.16%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 04:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -18.16%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 04:48 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -2.98%E -2.68%K -27.05%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -18.79%E -2.91%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.38%EV -6.47%E -6.05%K -92.46%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV -21.31%E -3.41%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 85.11%EV -8.22%E -7.83%K -164.40%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -24.46%E -4.08%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.59% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 11.41% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.80% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.20% | 1.5% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.80% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.20% | 1.5% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.08% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.92% | 2.3% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.98% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.02% | 3.1% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |