Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Marta Kostyuk v Sofia Kenin

2026-08-16 15:00 UTC — WTA Cincinnati Open

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Marta Kostyuk (Local)

Predicción 87.12%1.15momio equitativo
EV -1.55%
Ventaja -1.37%
Kelly -11.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.13

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
83.46%86.88%87.03%88.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.061.091.081.1394.34%92.14%92.59%88.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sofia Kenin (Visitante)

Predicción 12.88%7.77momio equitativo
EV +8.29%
Ventaja +0.986%
Kelly +1.12%
Crecimiento +0.093%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.38%13.12%12.97%16.54%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.407.387.508.4118.52%13.56%13.33%11.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Marta Kostyuk (Local): 87.12%; Sofia Kenin (Visitante): 12.88%. Para Sofia Kenin (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 7.77. 25 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 8.41, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +8.29%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.62%EV -5.91%E -5.47%K -73.83%G +0.000%8.41I 11.89%NM 11.38%EV +8.29%E +0.986%K +1.12%G +0.093%4.5%2026-08-15 11:25
Coolbet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 88.24%EV -4.16%E -3.79%K -41.64%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.76%EV +6.23%E +0.755%K +0.859%G +0.054%3.0%2026-08-15 11:30
FanDuel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -5.91%E -5.47%K -73.83%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV +5.59%E +0.681%K +0.776%G +0.043%4.8%2026-08-15 14:14
Unibet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.91%E -5.47%K -73.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.01%E +0.376%K +0.430%G +0.013%5.1%2026-08-15 11:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.91%E -5.47%K -73.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.01%E +0.376%K +0.430%G +0.013%5.1%2026-08-15 11:20
BetRivers🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.91%E -5.47%K -73.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.01%E +0.376%K +0.430%G +0.013%5.1%2026-08-15 11:19
Casumo🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.91%E -5.47%K -73.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.01%E +0.376%K +0.430%G +0.013%5.1%2026-08-15 11:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.91%E -5.47%K -73.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.01%E +0.376%K +0.430%G +0.013%5.1%2026-08-15 11:20
Grosvenor🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.91%E -5.47%K -73.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.01%E +0.376%K +0.430%G +0.013%5.1%2026-08-15 11:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.91%E -5.47%K -73.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.01%E +0.376%K +0.430%G +0.013%5.1%2026-08-15 11:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.91%E -5.47%K -73.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.01%E +0.376%K +0.430%G +0.013%5.1%2026-08-15 11:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.91%E -5.47%K -73.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.01%E +0.376%K +0.430%G +0.013%5.1%2026-08-15 11:19
TABtouch🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.91%E -5.47%K -73.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.01%E +0.376%K +0.430%G +0.013%5.1%2026-08-15 11:19
Betway🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.91%E -5.47%K -73.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.01%E +0.376%K +0.430%G +0.013%5.1%2026-08-15 12:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.91%E -5.47%K -73.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.01%E +0.376%K +0.430%G +0.013%5.1%2026-08-15 11:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.91%E -5.47%K -73.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.01%E +0.376%K +0.430%G +0.013%5.1%2026-08-15 11:19
Bally Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.91%E -5.47%K -73.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.01%E +0.376%K +0.430%G +0.013%5.1%2026-08-15 11:24
betPARX🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.91%E -5.47%K -73.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.01%E +0.376%K +0.430%G +0.013%5.1%2026-08-15 11:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.91%E -5.47%K -73.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.01%E +0.376%K +0.430%G +0.013%5.1%2026-08-15 11:19
Sky Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.91%E -5.47%K -73.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.01%E +0.376%K +0.430%G +0.013%5.1%2026-08-15 14:14
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.91%E -5.47%K -73.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.01%E +0.376%K +0.430%G +0.013%5.1%2026-08-15 14:14
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.65%E -7.22%K -127.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +3.01%E +0.376%K +0.430%G +0.013%6.8%2026-08-15 11:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.65%E -7.22%K -127.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +3.01%E +0.376%K +0.430%G +0.013%6.8%2026-08-15 11:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.65%E -7.22%K -127.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +3.01%E +0.376%K +0.430%G +0.013%6.8%2026-08-15 11:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -5.91%E -5.47%K -73.83%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV +0.435%E +0.056%K +0.064%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 11:24
BetAnything🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -5.91%E -5.47%K -73.83%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -0.853%E -0.111%K -0.127%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 13:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.29%E -2.97%K -29.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -3.43%E -0.457%K -0.527%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 14:08
Bovada🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.04%E -4.62%K -55.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.43%E -0.457%K -0.527%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 11:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.91%E -5.47%K -73.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.43%E -0.457%K -0.527%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 11:25
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.91%E -5.47%K -73.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.43%E -0.457%K -0.527%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 11:25
Coral🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.91%E -5.47%K -73.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.43%E -0.457%K -0.527%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.91%E -5.47%K -73.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.43%E -0.457%K -0.527%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.65%E -7.22%K -127.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.43%E -0.457%K -0.527%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 11:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.01%EV -4.16%E -3.79%K -41.64%G +0.000%7.37I 13.57%NM 12.99%EV -5.10%E -0.692%K -0.801%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 11:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.01%EV -4.16%E -3.79%K -41.64%G +0.000%7.37I 13.57%NM 12.99%EV -5.10%E -0.692%K -0.801%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 11:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.16%E -3.79%K -41.64%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -6.65%E -0.917%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 14:09
BetMGM🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.91%E -5.47%K -73.83%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -6.65%E -0.917%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 10:49
GTbets🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.60%EV -2.42%E -2.16%K -20.18%G +0.000%7.24I 13.81%NM 13.40%EV -6.78%E -0.936%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 11:29
1xBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 86.43%EV -1.55%E -1.37%K -11.92%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.57%EV -7.29%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-15 14:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.17%EV -7.65%E -7.22%K -127.48%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.83%EV -7.29%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 11:30
DraftKings🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.59%EV -4.16%E -3.79%K -41.64%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.41%EV -8.58%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 13:09
betfred_uk🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.91%E -5.47%K -73.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.87%E -1.41%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 11:39
Caesars🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.91%E -5.47%K -73.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.87%E -1.41%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 13:53
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.04%E -4.62%K -55.95%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -13.09%E -1.94%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 10:54
Neds🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.04%E -4.62%K -55.95%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -13.09%E -1.94%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 10:49
PlayUp🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.16%E -3.79%K -41.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.30%E -2.51%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 14:24
TAB🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.04%E -4.62%K -55.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -16.30%E -2.51%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 14:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.04%E -4.62%K -55.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -16.30%E -2.51%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 11:29
SportsBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.91%E -5.47%K -73.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -16.30%E -2.51%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 14:14
LeoVegas🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.56%EV -5.91%E -5.47%K -73.83%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -17.59%E -2.75%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 14:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -2.42%E -2.16%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -18.88%E -3.00%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 14:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.05%EV -5.04%E -4.62%K -55.95%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.95%EV -20.17%E -3.25%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 14:10
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.29%E -2.97%K -29.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -22.74%E -3.79%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 11:19
betano_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.16%E -3.79%K -41.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -22.74%E -3.79%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 11:00
Bet Victor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.16%E -3.79%K -41.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -22.74%E -3.79%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 10:58
ReBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.19%EV -5.91%E -5.47%K -73.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.81%EV -25.96%E -4.52%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 14:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 83.46%EV -6.78%E -6.33%K -96.82%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.54%EV -30.47%E -5.64%K -6.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-15 11:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 89.72%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.28%1.3%2026-08-15 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 89.72%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.28%1.3%2026-08-15 14:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 89.32%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.68%1.8%2026-08-15 14:10
Matchbook1.08I 92.59%NM 89.07%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.93%4.0%2026-08-15 11:30
Novig1.08I 92.59%NM 87.69%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.31%5.6%2026-08-15 14:05

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