Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Marta Kostyuk v Sofia Kenin

Inizio: 2026-08-16 19:08 UTC

Finale: Marta Kostyuk 2–1 Sofia Kenin

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

61 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Marta Kostyuk (Casa)

Previsione 87.41%1.14quota equa
EV -2.98%
Vantaggio -2.68%
Kelly -27.05%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.11

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
85.11%87.36%87.41%89.20%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.051.091.091.1195.24%92.13%91.74%90.09%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Sofia Kenin (Trasferta)

Previsione 12.59%7.94quota equa
EV +13.32%
Vantaggio +1.48%
Kelly +1.66%
Crescita +0.222%

ipotizzando la quota massima 9.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.80%12.64%12.59%14.89%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
6.007.237.009.0016.67%13.83%14.29%11.11%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Marta Kostyuk (Casa): 87.41%; Sofia Kenin (Trasferta): 12.59%. Per Sofia Kenin (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 7.94. 12 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 9.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +13.32%.

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Coolbet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%EV +13.32%E +1.48%K +1.66%G +0.222%2.9%2026-08-16 19:02
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +7.02%E +0.826%K +0.936%G +0.066%3.5%2026-08-16 18:54
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +7.02%E +0.826%K +0.936%G +0.066%4.4%2026-08-16 19:05
Betway🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.47%E -6.05%K -92.46%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +7.02%E +0.826%K +0.936%G +0.066%5.2%2026-08-16 17:44
FanDuel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV +5.76%E +0.686%K +0.779%G +0.045%4.5%2026-08-16 18:55
Pinnacle🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.28%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%8.21I 12.18%NM 11.72%EV +3.37%E +0.410%K +0.467%G +0.016%3.9%2026-08-16 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.22%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%8.16I 12.25%NM 11.78%EV +2.74%E +0.336%K +0.383%G +0.010%4.0%2026-08-16 18:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.22%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%8.16I 12.25%NM 11.78%EV +2.74%E +0.336%K +0.383%G +0.010%4.0%2026-08-16 18:55
DraftKings🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +0.725%E +0.091%K +0.104%G +0.001%3.4%2026-08-16 19:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +0.725%E +0.091%K +0.104%G +0.001%4.2%2026-08-16 18:55
Sky Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +0.725%E +0.091%K +0.104%G +0.001%5.1%2026-08-16 17:45
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +0.725%E +0.091%K +0.104%G +0.001%5.1%2026-08-16 17:45
Fanatics🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -1.79%E -0.230%K -0.264%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 18:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 16:50
Coral🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 18:54
BetUS🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 16:50
betfred_uk🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.47%E -6.05%K -92.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 19:00
William Hill🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.47%E -6.05%K -92.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 19:00
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.35%E -6.93%K -122.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 19:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.35%E -6.93%K -122.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 19:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.35%E -6.93%K -122.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -5.57%E -0.743%K -0.857%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 19:00
BetAnything🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.24%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.76%EV -6.20%E -0.832%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 18:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.16%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV -6.83%E -0.923%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 18:54
BetMGM🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -8.72%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 10:49
NordicBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -8.72%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 18:54
Betsson🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -8.72%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 18:54
LeoVegas🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.69%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.31%EV -10.61%E -1.49%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 19:05
Bovada🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -2.98%E -2.68%K -27.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -11.87%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-16 18:54
PlayUp🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -11.87%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 19:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.87%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 19:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.87%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 19:05
TAB🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.87%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 16:49
Caesars🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.87%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 13:53
SportsBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.87%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 18:55
Fliff🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.60%EV -7.35%E -6.93%K -122.44%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.40%EV -13.75%E -2.01%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 19:05
Unibet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 08:59
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 08:59
Casumo🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 08:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 08:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 08:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 08:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 08:59
betPARX🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 08:58
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.85%E -3.50%K -38.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 08:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 10:54
Neds🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -15.01%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 10:49
1xBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -2.98%E -2.68%K -27.05%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -15.64%E -2.33%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 19:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -18.16%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 19:05
Grosvenor🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -18.16%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 19:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -18.16%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 19:04
TABtouch🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -18.16%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 19:05
Bally Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -18.16%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 19:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -18.16%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 18:58
betano_uk🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -18.16%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 04:45
Bet Victor🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.60%E -5.18%K -69.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -18.16%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 04:48
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -2.98%E -2.68%K -27.05%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -18.79%E -2.91%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.38%EV -6.47%E -6.05%K -92.46%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV -21.31%E -3.41%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 19:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 85.11%EV -8.22%E -7.83%K -164.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -24.46%E -4.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 19:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.59%8.70I 11.49%NM 11.41%0.8%2026-08-16 19:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-08-16 19:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-08-16 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 88.80%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.20%1.5%2026-08-16 19:05
Matchbook◎1.11I 90.09%NM 88.80%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.20%1.5%2026-08-16 19:05
ProphetX◎1.11I 90.09%NM 88.08%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.92%2.3%2026-08-16 19:05
Smarkets◎1.09I 91.74%NM 88.98%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.02%3.1%2026-08-16 19:05