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Katerina Siniakova v Madison Keys
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Katerina Siniakova (Хозяева)
Прогноз 24.18%4.14справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.74%
Преимущество +0.646%
Kelly +0.845%
Рост +0.023%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.25
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.30%24.30%24.12%27.08%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.503.883.874.2528.57%25.75%25.84%23.53%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Madison Keys (Гости)
Прогноз 75.82%1.32справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.43%
Преимущество -1.10%
Kelly -4.76%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.30
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
72.92%75.70%75.88%77.70%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.201.251.251.3083.33%79.97%80.00%76.92%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Katerina Siniakova (Хозяева): 24.18%; Madison Keys (Гости): 75.82%. Для исхода «Katerina Siniakova (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.14. 3 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.25, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +2.74%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (63 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.74%E +0.646%K +0.845%G +0.023% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 14:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.23I 23.64%NM 23.09%EV +2.26%E +0.535%K +0.700%G +0.016% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.91%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-18 14:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +0.327%E +0.079%K +0.104%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.98%E -4.82%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 14:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.882%E -0.215%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-18 10:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.60%EV -1.37%E -0.335%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.40%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-18 14:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.60%EV -1.37%E -0.335%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.40%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-18 14:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -3.06%E -0.762%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 13:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 14:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 13:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 14:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 14:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 13:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 14:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 11:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 13:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 13:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 14:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 11:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 11:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 14:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.01%E -7.51%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-18 14:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.90%EV -3.78%E -0.950%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.10%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 15:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.09%EV -4.02%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.91%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-18 14:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.51%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.98%E -4.82%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 15:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.51%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.98%E -4.82%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 14:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -5.23%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 13:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.72%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 15:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.72%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.98%E -4.82%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 13:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.72%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-18 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.72%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-18 13:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.56%EV -6.44%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.44%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 14:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 08:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 08:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 08:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 08:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 08:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 08:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 08:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 08:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 08:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 08:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 08:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 08:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 08:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 08:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 08:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 15:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 15:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 08:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 08:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 15:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 11:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-18 15:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -10.55%E -2.85%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -5.98%E -4.82%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-18 08:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.94%E -2.30%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 13:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 13:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 14:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-18 08:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-18 08:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -6.74%E -5.48%K -29.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-18 15:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -15.39%E -4.40%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.43%E -1.10%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 10:09 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79% | 0.2% | 2026-08-18 15:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 0.2% | 2026-08-18 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-08-18 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 15:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-08-18 15:05 |
| Novig◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 1.1% | 2026-08-18 15:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78% | 2.5% | 2026-08-18 15:05 |