Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Katerina Siniakova v Madison Keys

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-18 15:09 UTC

Score final : Katerina Siniakova 0–2 Madison Keys

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Katerina Siniakova (Local)

Prévision 24.18%4.14cote équitable
EV +2.74%
Avantage +0.646%
Kelly +0.845%
Croissance +0.023%

avec la cote maximale 4.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.30%24.30%24.12%27.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.883.874.2528.57%25.75%25.84%23.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Madison Keys (Visiteur)

Prévision 75.82%1.32cote équitable
EV -1.43%
Avantage -1.10%
Kelly -4.76%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.92%75.70%75.88%77.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.201.251.251.3083.33%79.97%80.00%76.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Katerina Siniakova (Local) : 24.18% ; Madison Keys (Visiteur) : 75.82%. Pour Katerina Siniakova (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.14. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.25, soit une espérance positive de +2.74%.

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.74%E +0.646%K +0.845%G +0.023%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 14:35
Pinnacle🎯4.23I 23.64%NM 23.09%EV +2.26%E +0.535%K +0.700%G +0.016%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.91%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-18 14:40
FanDuel🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +0.327%E +0.079%K +0.104%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.98%E -4.82%K -24.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 14:30
Winamax (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.882%E -0.215%K -0.284%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-18 10:35
LowVig.ag🎯4.08I 24.51%NM 23.60%EV -1.37%E -0.335%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.40%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-18 14:35
BetOnline.ag🎯4.08I 24.51%NM 23.60%EV -1.37%E -0.335%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.40%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-18 14:35
1xBet🎯4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -3.06%E -0.762%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 14:55
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 13:29
Unibet (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 14:35
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 13:29
Winamax (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 14:34
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 14:35
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 13:35
ReBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 14:35
Bovada🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 11:09
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 13:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 13:29
BetUS🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 14:35
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 11:09
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 11:10
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 14:30
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.01%E -7.51%K -45.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-18 14:40
DraftKings🎯3.98I 25.13%NM 23.90%EV -3.78%E -0.950%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.10%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 15:05
BetAnything🎯3.97I 25.19%NM 24.09%EV -4.02%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.91%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 14:35
LeoVegas🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.51%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.98%E -4.82%K -24.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 15:05
Betr (AU)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.51%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.98%E -4.82%K -24.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 14:35
Marathon Bet🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -5.23%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 13:34
Coolbet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.72%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 15:05
BetMGM🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.72%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.98%E -4.82%K -24.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 13:35
Coral🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.72%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-18 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.72%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-18 13:34
GTbets🎯3.87I 25.84%NM 24.56%EV -6.44%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.44%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 14:35
theScore Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:49
Unibet (NL)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:49
BetRivers🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:50
Unibet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:49
Virgin Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:49
Unibet (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:50
Casumo🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:49
LiveScore Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:49
TABtouch🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:50
Grosvenor🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:49
Svenska Spel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:49
ATG (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:49
Bally Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:49
betPARX🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:49
NordicBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 15:05
Betsson🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 15:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 08:49
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 08:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 15:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 11:10
Fliff🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-18 15:05
PMU (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -10.55%E -2.85%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -5.98%E -4.82%K -24.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-18 08:49
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.94%E -2.30%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 13:29
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 13:34
Caesars🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 14:54
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-18 08:54
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-18 08:54
Betclic (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -6.74%E -5.48%K -29.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-18 15:04
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -15.39%E -4.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.43%E -1.10%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 10:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79%0.2%2026-08-18 15:05
Matchbook◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%0.2%2026-08-18 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-08-18 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-08-18 15:05
ProphetX◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-08-18 15:05
Novig◎4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%1.1%2026-08-18 15:05
Smarkets◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%2.5%2026-08-18 15:05