Idioma:Español
Katerina Siniakova v Madison Keys
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Katerina Siniakova (Local)
Predicción 24.18%4.14momio equitativo
EV +2.74%
Ventaja +0.646%
Kelly +0.845%
Crecimiento +0.023%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.30%24.30%24.12%27.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.883.874.2528.57%25.75%25.84%23.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Madison Keys (Visitante)
Predicción 75.82%1.32momio equitativo
EV -1.43%
Ventaja -1.10%
Kelly -4.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.92%75.70%75.88%77.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.201.251.251.3083.33%79.97%80.00%76.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Katerina Siniakova (Local): 24.18%; Madison Keys (Visitante): 75.82%. Para Katerina Siniakova (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.14. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.25, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.74%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.74%E +0.646%K +0.845%G +0.023% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 14:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.23I 23.64%NM 23.09%EV +2.26%E +0.535%K +0.700%G +0.016% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.91%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-18 14:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +0.327%E +0.079%K +0.104%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.98%E -4.82%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 14:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.882%E -0.215%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-18 10:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.60%EV -1.37%E -0.335%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.40%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-18 14:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.60%EV -1.37%E -0.335%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.40%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-18 14:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -3.06%E -0.762%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 13:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 14:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 13:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 14:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 14:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 13:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 14:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 11:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 13:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 13:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 14:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 11:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 11:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 14:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.01%E -7.51%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-18 14:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.90%EV -3.78%E -0.950%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.10%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 15:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.09%EV -4.02%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.91%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-18 14:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.51%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.98%E -4.82%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 15:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.51%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.98%E -4.82%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 14:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -5.23%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 13:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.72%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 15:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.72%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.98%E -4.82%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 13:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.72%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-18 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.72%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-18 13:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.56%EV -6.44%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.44%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 14:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 08:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 08:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 08:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 08:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 08:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 08:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 08:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 08:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 08:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 08:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 08:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 08:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 08:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 08:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 08:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 15:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 15:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 08:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 08:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 15:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 11:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-18 15:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -10.55%E -2.85%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -5.98%E -4.82%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-18 08:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.94%E -2.30%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 13:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 13:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 14:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-18 08:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-18 08:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -6.74%E -5.48%K -29.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-18 15:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -15.39%E -4.40%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.43%E -1.10%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 10:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79% | 0.2% | 2026-08-18 15:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 0.2% | 2026-08-18 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-08-18 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 15:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-08-18 15:05 |
| Novig◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 1.1% | 2026-08-18 15:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78% | 2.5% | 2026-08-18 15:05 |