StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Katerina Siniakova v Madison Keys

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-18 15:09 UTC

Endstand: Katerina Siniakova 0–2 Madison Keys

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Katerina Siniakova (Heim)

Prognose 24.18%4.14faire Quote
EV +2.74%
Vorteil +0.646%
Kelly +0.845%
Wachstum +0.023%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.30%24.30%24.12%27.08%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.503.883.874.2528.57%25.75%25.84%23.53%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Madison Keys (Auswärts)

Prognose 75.82%1.32faire Quote
EV -1.43%
Vorteil -1.10%
Kelly -4.76%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.30

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
72.92%75.70%75.88%77.70%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.201.251.251.3083.33%79.97%80.00%76.92%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Katerina Siniakova (Heim): 24.18%; Madison Keys (Auswärts): 75.82%. Für Katerina Siniakova (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.14. 3 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.25 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +2.74%.

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.74%E +0.646%K +0.845%G +0.023%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 14:35
Pinnacle🎯4.23I 23.64%NM 23.09%EV +2.26%E +0.535%K +0.700%G +0.016%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.91%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-18 14:40
FanDuel🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +0.327%E +0.079%K +0.104%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.98%E -4.82%K -24.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 14:30
Winamax (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.882%E -0.215%K -0.284%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-18 10:35
LowVig.ag🎯4.08I 24.51%NM 23.60%EV -1.37%E -0.335%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.40%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-18 14:35
BetOnline.ag🎯4.08I 24.51%NM 23.60%EV -1.37%E -0.335%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.40%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-18 14:35
1xBet🎯4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -3.06%E -0.762%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 14:55
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 13:29
Unibet (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 14:35
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 13:29
Winamax (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 14:34
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 14:35
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 13:35
ReBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 14:35
Bovada🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 11:09
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 13:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 13:29
BetUS🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 14:35
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 11:09
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 11:10
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 14:30
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.01%E -7.51%K -45.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-18 14:40
DraftKings🎯3.98I 25.13%NM 23.90%EV -3.78%E -0.950%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.10%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 15:05
BetAnything🎯3.97I 25.19%NM 24.09%EV -4.02%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.91%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 14:35
LeoVegas🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.51%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.98%E -4.82%K -24.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 15:05
Betr (AU)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.51%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.98%E -4.82%K -24.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 14:35
Marathon Bet🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -5.23%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 13:34
Coolbet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.72%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 15:05
BetMGM🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.72%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.98%E -4.82%K -24.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 13:35
Coral🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.72%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-18 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.72%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-18 13:34
GTbets🎯3.87I 25.84%NM 24.56%EV -6.44%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.44%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 14:35
theScore Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:49
Unibet (NL)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:49
BetRivers🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:50
Unibet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:49
Virgin Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:49
Unibet (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:50
Casumo🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:49
LiveScore Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:49
TABtouch🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:50
Grosvenor🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:49
Svenska Spel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:49
ATG (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:49
Bally Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:49
betPARX🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:49
NordicBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 15:05
Betsson🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 15:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 08:49
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 08:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 15:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 11:10
Fliff🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-18 15:05
PMU (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -10.55%E -2.85%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -5.98%E -4.82%K -24.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-18 08:49
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.94%E -2.30%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 13:29
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 13:34
Caesars🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 14:54
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-18 08:54
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-18 08:54
Betclic (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -6.74%E -5.48%K -29.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-18 15:04
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -15.39%E -4.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.43%E -1.10%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 10:09
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79%0.2%2026-08-18 15:05
Matchbook◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%0.2%2026-08-18 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-08-18 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-08-18 15:05
ProphetX◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-08-18 15:05
Novig◎4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%1.1%2026-08-18 15:05
Smarkets◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%2.5%2026-08-18 15:05