Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Katerina Siniakova v Madison Keys

Inizio: 2026-08-18 15:09 UTC

Finale: Katerina Siniakova 0–2 Madison Keys

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

63 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Katerina Siniakova (Casa)

Previsione 24.18%4.14quota equa
EV +2.74%
Vantaggio +0.646%
Kelly +0.845%
Crescita +0.023%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.30%24.30%24.12%27.08%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.883.874.2528.57%25.75%25.84%23.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Madison Keys (Trasferta)

Previsione 75.82%1.32quota equa
EV -1.43%
Vantaggio -1.10%
Kelly -4.76%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
72.92%75.70%75.88%77.70%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.201.251.251.3083.33%79.97%80.00%76.92%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Katerina Siniakova (Casa): 24.18%; Madison Keys (Trasferta): 75.82%. Per Katerina Siniakova (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.14. 3 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.25, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.74%.

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.74%E +0.646%K +0.845%G +0.023%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 14:35
Pinnacle🎯4.23I 23.64%NM 23.09%EV +2.26%E +0.535%K +0.700%G +0.016%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.91%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-18 14:40
FanDuel🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +0.327%E +0.079%K +0.104%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.98%E -4.82%K -24.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 14:30
Winamax (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.882%E -0.215%K -0.284%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-18 10:35
LowVig.ag🎯4.08I 24.51%NM 23.60%EV -1.37%E -0.335%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.40%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-18 14:35
BetOnline.ag🎯4.08I 24.51%NM 23.60%EV -1.37%E -0.335%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.40%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-18 14:35
1xBet🎯4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -3.06%E -0.762%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 14:55
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 13:29
Unibet (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 14:35
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 13:29
Winamax (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 14:34
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 14:35
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 13:35
ReBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 14:35
Bovada🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 11:09
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 13:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 13:29
BetUS🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 14:35
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 11:09
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 11:10
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 14:30
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.01%E -7.51%K -45.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-18 14:40
DraftKings🎯3.98I 25.13%NM 23.90%EV -3.78%E -0.950%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.10%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 15:05
BetAnything🎯3.97I 25.19%NM 24.09%EV -4.02%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.91%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 14:35
LeoVegas🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.51%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.98%E -4.82%K -24.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 15:05
Betr (AU)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.51%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.98%E -4.82%K -24.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 14:35
Marathon Bet🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -5.23%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 13:34
Coolbet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.72%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 15:05
BetMGM🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.72%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.98%E -4.82%K -24.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 13:35
Coral🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.72%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-18 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.72%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-18 13:34
GTbets🎯3.87I 25.84%NM 24.56%EV -6.44%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.44%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 14:35
theScore Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:49
Unibet (NL)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:49
BetRivers🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:50
Unibet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:49
Virgin Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:49
Unibet (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:50
Casumo🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:49
LiveScore Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:49
TABtouch🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:50
Grosvenor🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:49
Svenska Spel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:49
ATG (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:49
Bally Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:49
betPARX🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:49
NordicBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 15:05
Betsson🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 15:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 08:49
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 08:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 15:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 11:10
Fliff🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-18 15:05
PMU (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -10.55%E -2.85%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -5.98%E -4.82%K -24.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-18 08:49
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.94%E -2.30%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 13:29
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 13:34
Caesars🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 14:54
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-18 08:54
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-18 08:54
Betclic (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -6.74%E -5.48%K -29.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-18 15:04
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -15.39%E -4.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.43%E -1.10%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 10:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79%0.2%2026-08-18 15:05
Matchbook◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%0.2%2026-08-18 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-08-18 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-08-18 15:05
ProphetX◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-08-18 15:05
Novig◎4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%1.1%2026-08-18 15:05
Smarkets◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%2.5%2026-08-18 15:05