Language:English
Emiliana Arango v Venus Williams
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Emiliana Arango (Local)
Prediction 70.87%1.41fair odd
EV -3.62%
Edge -2.66%
Kelly -10.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.32%71.02%70.96%73.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.331.331.3678.74%74.97%75.19%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Venus Williams (Visit)
Prediction 29.13%3.43fair odd
EV +3.42%
Edge +0.965%
Kelly +1.34%
Growth +0.046%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.95%28.98%29.04%30.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.273.303.5532.79%30.58%30.30%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Emiliana Arango (Local): 70.87%; Venus Williams (Visit): 29.13%. For Venus Williams (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.43. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.42%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -7.17%E -5.47%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV +3.42%E +0.965%K +1.34%G +0.046% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.87%E -6.06%K -26.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.97%E +0.562%K +0.787%G +0.015% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.87%E -6.06%K -26.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.97%E +0.562%K +0.787%G +0.015% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.76%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +0.511%E +0.148%K +0.209%G +0.001% | 3.6% | 2026-08-14 13:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -9.29%E -7.26%K -33.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV +0.511%E +0.148%K +0.209%G +0.001% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 16:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.62%E -2.66%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -0.945%E -0.278%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-14 16:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.04%E -3.76%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -0.945%E -0.278%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-14 16:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.945%E -0.278%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 17:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.87%E -6.06%K -26.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.945%E -0.278%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -10.00%E -7.87%K -37.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -0.945%E -0.278%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-14 16:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -1.24%E -0.365%K -0.517%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 17:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.40%E -0.717%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-14 17:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.40%E -0.717%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-14 16:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.40%E -0.717%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-14 16:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.37%EV -5.04%E -3.76%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.63%EV -2.69%E -0.806%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 16:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.04%E -3.76%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 16:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 11:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 11:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 11:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 11:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 11:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 11:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 07:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.78%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.22%EV -4.73%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 17:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -5.04%E -3.76%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -4.73%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.32%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 07:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.32%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.32%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 12:13 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 17:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 17:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 17:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 17:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 17:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.04%E -3.76%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 07:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 16:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.46%E -4.89%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 07:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.87%E -6.06%K -26.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 17:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.62%E -2.66%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.69%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.62%E -2.66%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.69%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 16:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.62%E -2.66%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.69%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 16:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.62%E -2.66%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.69%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 15:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.62%E -2.66%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.69%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 16:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.69%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 17:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.04%E -3.76%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.69%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 16:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.87%E -6.06%K -26.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.69%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 17:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 07:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 07:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 0.2% | 2026-08-14 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 17:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.80% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 27.20% | 1.0% | 2026-08-14 17:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 17:30 |