Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Emiliana Arango v Venus Williams

Inizio: 2026-08-14 17:35 UTC

Finale: Emiliana Arango 2–0 Venus Williams

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

57 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Emiliana Arango (Casa)

Previsione 70.87%1.41quota equa
EV -3.62%
Vantaggio -2.66%
Kelly -10.06%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.36

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.32%71.02%70.96%73.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.271.331.331.3678.74%74.97%75.19%73.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Venus Williams (Trasferta)

Previsione 29.13%3.43quota equa
EV +3.42%
Vantaggio +0.965%
Kelly +1.34%
Crescita +0.046%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.95%28.98%29.04%30.68%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.053.273.303.5532.79%30.58%30.30%28.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Emiliana Arango (Casa): 70.87%; Venus Williams (Trasferta): 29.13%. Per Venus Williams (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.43. 5 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.55, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.42%.

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -7.17%E -5.47%K -23.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV +3.42%E +0.965%K +1.34%G +0.046%4.5%2026-08-14 16:29
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.87%E -6.06%K -26.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.97%E +0.562%K +0.787%G +0.015%5.5%2026-08-14 16:29
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.87%E -6.06%K -26.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.97%E +0.562%K +0.787%G +0.015%5.5%2026-08-14 16:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.76%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +0.511%E +0.148%K +0.209%G +0.001%3.6%2026-08-14 13:25
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -9.29%E -7.26%K -33.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV +0.511%E +0.148%K +0.209%G +0.001%7.1%2026-08-14 16:30
Coolbet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.62%E -2.66%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -0.945%E -0.278%K -0.394%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-14 16:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.04%E -3.76%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -0.945%E -0.278%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-14 16:34
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.945%E -0.278%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.87%E -6.06%K -26.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.945%E -0.278%K -0.394%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 16:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -10.00%E -7.87%K -37.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -0.945%E -0.278%K -0.394%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 16:39
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -1.24%E -0.365%K -0.517%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 17:25
BetAnything🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.40%E -0.717%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 17:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.40%E -0.717%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 16:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.40%E -0.717%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 16:34
BetUS🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.37%EV -5.04%E -3.76%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.63%EV -2.69%E -0.806%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.04%E -3.76%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 16:35
Unibet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 11:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 11:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 11:25
Bally Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 11:24
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 11:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 11:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 11:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 11:25
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 11:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 11:24
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 11:24
Casumo🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 11:25
TABtouch🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 11:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 11:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 07:55
DraftKings🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.78%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.22%EV -4.73%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 17:29
GTbets🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -5.04%E -3.76%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -4.73%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 16:25
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.32%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 07:54
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.32%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 12:14
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.32%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 12:13
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 17:29
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 17:34
ReBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 17:30
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 17:20
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 17:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.04%E -3.76%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 07:54
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 16:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.46%E -4.89%K -20.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 07:54
Fliff🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.87%E -6.06%K -26.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 17:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.62%E -2.66%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.69%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.62%E -2.66%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.69%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 16:55
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.62%E -2.66%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.69%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 16:55
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.62%E -2.66%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.69%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 15:14
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.62%E -2.66%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.69%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 16:55
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.69%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 17:34
TAB🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.04%E -3.76%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.69%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 16:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.87%E -6.06%K -26.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.69%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-14 17:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 07:55
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 07:54
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX◎1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%0.2%2026-08-14 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-08-14 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-08-14 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-08-14 17:30
Novig◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.80%3.64I 27.47%NM 27.20%1.0%2026-08-14 17:30
Matchbook◎1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%4.2%2026-08-14 17:30