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Emiliana Arango v Venus Williams
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Emiliana Arango (Хозяева)
Прогноз 70.87%1.41справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.62%
Преимущество -2.66%
Kelly -10.06%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.36
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
69.32%71.02%70.96%73.05%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.271.331.331.3678.74%74.97%75.19%73.53%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Venus Williams (Гости)
Прогноз 29.13%3.43справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.42%
Преимущество +0.965%
Kelly +1.34%
Рост +0.046%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.55
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.95%28.98%29.04%30.68%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.053.273.303.5532.79%30.58%30.30%28.17%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Emiliana Arango (Хозяева): 70.87%; Venus Williams (Гости): 29.13%. Для исхода «Venus Williams (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.43. 5 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.55, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +3.42%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (57 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -7.17%E -5.47%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV +3.42%E +0.965%K +1.34%G +0.046% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.87%E -6.06%K -26.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.97%E +0.562%K +0.787%G +0.015% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.87%E -6.06%K -26.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.97%E +0.562%K +0.787%G +0.015% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.76%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +0.511%E +0.148%K +0.209%G +0.001% | 3.6% | 2026-08-14 13:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -9.29%E -7.26%K -33.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV +0.511%E +0.148%K +0.209%G +0.001% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 16:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.62%E -2.66%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -0.945%E -0.278%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-14 16:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.04%E -3.76%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -0.945%E -0.278%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-14 16:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.945%E -0.278%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 17:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.87%E -6.06%K -26.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.945%E -0.278%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -10.00%E -7.87%K -37.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -0.945%E -0.278%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-14 16:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -1.24%E -0.365%K -0.517%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 17:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.40%E -0.717%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-14 17:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.40%E -0.717%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-14 16:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.40%E -0.717%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-14 16:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.37%EV -5.04%E -3.76%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.63%EV -2.69%E -0.806%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 16:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.04%E -3.76%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 16:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 11:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 11:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 11:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 11:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 11:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 11:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 07:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.78%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.22%EV -4.73%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 17:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -5.04%E -3.76%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -4.73%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.32%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 07:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.32%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.32%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 12:13 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 17:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 17:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 17:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 17:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 17:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.04%E -3.76%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 07:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 16:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.46%E -4.89%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 07:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.87%E -6.06%K -26.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 17:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.62%E -2.66%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.69%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.62%E -2.66%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.69%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 16:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.62%E -2.66%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.69%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 16:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.62%E -2.66%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.69%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 15:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.62%E -2.66%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.69%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 16:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.69%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 17:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.04%E -3.76%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.69%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 16:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.87%E -6.06%K -26.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.69%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 17:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 07:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 07:54 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 0.2% | 2026-08-14 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 17:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.80% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 27.20% | 1.0% | 2026-08-14 17:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 17:30 |