StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Emiliana Arango v Venus Williams

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-14 17:35 UTC

Endstand: Emiliana Arango 2–0 Venus Williams

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

57 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Emiliana Arango (Heim)

Prognose 70.87%1.41faire Quote
EV -3.62%
Vorteil -2.66%
Kelly -10.06%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.36

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
69.32%71.02%70.96%73.05%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.271.331.331.3678.74%74.97%75.19%73.53%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Venus Williams (Auswärts)

Prognose 29.13%3.43faire Quote
EV +3.42%
Vorteil +0.965%
Kelly +1.34%
Wachstum +0.046%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.55

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
26.95%28.98%29.04%30.68%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.053.273.303.5532.79%30.58%30.30%28.17%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Emiliana Arango (Heim): 70.87%; Venus Williams (Auswärts): 29.13%. Für Venus Williams (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.43. 5 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.55 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +3.42%.

Wettanbieterquoten (57 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -7.17%E -5.47%K -23.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV +3.42%E +0.965%K +1.34%G +0.046%4.5%2026-08-14 16:29
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.87%E -6.06%K -26.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.97%E +0.562%K +0.787%G +0.015%5.5%2026-08-14 16:29
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.87%E -6.06%K -26.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.97%E +0.562%K +0.787%G +0.015%5.5%2026-08-14 16:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.76%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +0.511%E +0.148%K +0.209%G +0.001%3.6%2026-08-14 13:25
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -9.29%E -7.26%K -33.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV +0.511%E +0.148%K +0.209%G +0.001%7.1%2026-08-14 16:30
Coolbet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.62%E -2.66%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -0.945%E -0.278%K -0.394%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-14 16:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.04%E -3.76%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -0.945%E -0.278%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-14 16:34
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.945%E -0.278%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.87%E -6.06%K -26.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.945%E -0.278%K -0.394%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 16:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -10.00%E -7.87%K -37.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -0.945%E -0.278%K -0.394%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 16:39
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -1.24%E -0.365%K -0.517%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 17:25
BetAnything🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.40%E -0.717%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 17:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.40%E -0.717%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 16:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.40%E -0.717%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 16:34
BetUS🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.37%EV -5.04%E -3.76%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.63%EV -2.69%E -0.806%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.04%E -3.76%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 16:35
Unibet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 11:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 11:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 11:25
Bally Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 11:24
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 11:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 11:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 11:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 11:25
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 11:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 11:24
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 11:24
Casumo🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 11:25
TABtouch🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 11:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 11:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 07:55
DraftKings🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.78%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.22%EV -4.73%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 17:29
GTbets🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -5.04%E -3.76%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -4.73%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 16:25
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.32%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 07:54
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.32%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 12:14
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.32%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 12:13
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 17:29
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 17:34
ReBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 17:30
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 17:20
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 17:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.04%E -3.76%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 07:54
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.75%E -4.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 16:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.46%E -4.89%K -20.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 07:54
Fliff🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.87%E -6.06%K -26.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 17:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.62%E -2.66%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.69%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.62%E -2.66%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.69%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 16:55
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.62%E -2.66%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.69%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 16:55
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.62%E -2.66%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.69%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 15:14
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.62%E -2.66%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.69%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 16:55
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.69%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 17:34
TAB🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.04%E -3.76%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.69%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 16:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.87%E -6.06%K -26.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.69%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-14 17:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 07:55
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.33%E -3.21%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 07:54
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
ProphetX◎1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%0.2%2026-08-14 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-08-14 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-08-14 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-08-14 17:30
Novig◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.80%3.64I 27.47%NM 27.20%1.0%2026-08-14 17:30
Matchbook◎1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%4.2%2026-08-14 17:30