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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Emiliana Arango v Venus Williams

2026-08-14 17:00 UTC — WTA Cincinnati Open

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Emiliana Arango (Local)

Predicción 69.92%1.43momio equitativo
EV +0.690%
Ventaja +0.479%
Kelly +1.57%
Crecimiento +0.011%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.43%69.82%69.77%71.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.301.361.351.4476.92%73.79%74.07%69.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Venus Williams (Visitante)

Predicción 30.08%3.32momio equitativo
EV +2.26%
Ventaja +0.665%
Kelly +0.942%
Crecimiento +0.021%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.42%30.18%30.23%33.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.853.153.153.4035.09%31.73%31.75%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Emiliana Arango (Local): 69.92%; Venus Williams (Visitante): 30.08%. Para Venus Williams (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.32. 2 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.40, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +2.26%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Winamax (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV +2.26%E +0.665%K +0.942%G +0.021%3.5%2026-08-14 08:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV +0.756%E +0.226%K +0.322%G +0.002%4.5%2026-08-14 08:50
Pinnacle🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.94%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.06%EV -0.146%E -0.044%K -0.063%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-14 08:50
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.748%E -0.227%K -0.325%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 07:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.748%E -0.227%K -0.325%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 07:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.748%E -0.227%K -0.325%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 07:54
Bally Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.748%E -0.227%K -0.325%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 07:55
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.748%E -0.227%K -0.325%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 07:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.748%E -0.227%K -0.325%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 07:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.748%E -0.227%K -0.325%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 07:54
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.748%E -0.227%K -0.325%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 07:55
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.748%E -0.227%K -0.325%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 07:54
Casumo🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.748%E -0.227%K -0.325%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 07:54
TABtouch🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.748%E -0.227%K -0.325%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 07:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.748%E -0.227%K -0.325%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 07:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.748%E -0.227%K -0.325%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 07:55
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.51%E -2.54%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.25%E -0.693%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 07:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.25%E -0.693%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 08:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.25%E -0.693%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 07:59
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.25%E -0.693%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 07:54
DraftKings🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.59%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.41%EV -2.55%E -0.788%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 08:04
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.76%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 07:54
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.76%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 08:39
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.76%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 08:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.76%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 07:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.70%E -5.83%K -24.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.76%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 07:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.10%E -7.00%K -30.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.76%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 07:59
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.20%E -3.07%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.26%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 07:59
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.20%E -3.07%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.26%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 08:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.26%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 07:59
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.26%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 08:04
GTbets🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -1.41%E -0.998%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 07:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.20%E -3.07%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 08:03
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 07:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 07:34
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 07:34
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 08:09
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 08:45
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 07:35
FanDuel🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -2.81%E -2.02%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 07:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 08:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 07:55
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 07:54
ReBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 07:59
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.71%EV +0.690%E +0.479%K +1.57%G +0.011%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.29%EV -9.17%E -3.04%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-14 08:00
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.11%E -1.50%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 07:55
TAB🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 08:40
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 07:54
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 07:53
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 08:34
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 08:00
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.34%EV -10.37%E -3.48%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 07:55
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.11%E -1.50%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.78%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 07:39
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -12.78%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 08:48
Betclic (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.72%EV -7.70%E -5.83%K -24.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -12.78%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-14 08:03
BetAnything🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV +0.690%E +0.479%K +1.57%G +0.011%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -14.28%E -5.01%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 05:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX◎1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-08-14 08:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-08-14 08:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-08-14 08:50
Matchbook◎1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%2.3%2026-08-14 08:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%2.3%2026-08-14 08:50
Novig◎1.37I 72.99%NM 70.22%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.78%4.0%2026-08-14 08:29
Arbitraje (32 combinaciones) +1.16%1xBet 1.44 (70.2%) / Winamax (DE) 3.40 (29.8%)Ver las 32 combinaciones
Emiliana Arango (Local)Venus Williams (Visitante)Margen
1xBet🎯 1.44 (70.2%)Winamax (DE)🎯 3.40 (29.8%)+1.16%
BetAnything🎯 1.44 (70.2%)Winamax (DE)🎯 3.40 (29.8%)+1.16%
1xBet🎯 1.44 (69.9%)Winamax (FR)🎯 3.35 (30.1%)+0.710%
BetAnything🎯 1.44 (69.9%)Winamax (FR)🎯 3.35 (30.1%)+0.710%
1xBet🎯 1.44 (69.7%)Pinnacle🎯 3.32 (30.3%)+0.437%
BetAnything🎯 1.44 (69.7%)Pinnacle🎯 3.32 (30.3%)+0.437%
1xBet🎯 1.44 (69.6%)Unibet🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.253%
1xBet🎯 1.44 (69.6%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.253%
1xBet🎯 1.44 (69.6%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.253%
1xBet🎯 1.44 (69.6%)Bally Bet🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.253%
1xBet🎯 1.44 (69.6%)betPARX🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.253%
1xBet🎯 1.44 (69.6%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.253%
1xBet🎯 1.44 (69.6%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.253%
1xBet🎯 1.44 (69.6%)BetRivers🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.253%
1xBet🎯 1.44 (69.6%)Grosvenor🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.253%
1xBet🎯 1.44 (69.6%)Casumo🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.253%
1xBet🎯 1.44 (69.6%)TABtouch🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.253%
1xBet🎯 1.44 (69.6%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.253%
1xBet🎯 1.44 (69.6%)Hard Rock Bet🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.253%
BetAnything🎯 1.44 (69.6%)Unibet🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.253%
BetAnything🎯 1.44 (69.6%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.253%
BetAnything🎯 1.44 (69.6%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.253%
BetAnything🎯 1.44 (69.6%)Bally Bet🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.253%
BetAnything🎯 1.44 (69.6%)betPARX🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.253%
BetAnything🎯 1.44 (69.6%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.253%
BetAnything🎯 1.44 (69.6%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.253%
BetAnything🎯 1.44 (69.6%)BetRivers🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.253%
BetAnything🎯 1.44 (69.6%)Grosvenor🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.253%
BetAnything🎯 1.44 (69.6%)Casumo🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.253%
BetAnything🎯 1.44 (69.6%)TABtouch🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.253%
BetAnything🎯 1.44 (69.6%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.253%
BetAnything🎯 1.44 (69.6%)Hard Rock Bet🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.253%

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