預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Aryna Sabalenka v Talia Gibson

開賽時間: 2026-08-16 19:09 UTC

最終賽果: Aryna Sabalenka 2–0 Talia Gibson

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

63 家博彩公司 (21 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Aryna Sabalenka (主隊)

預測 84.53%1.18公平賠率
EV -1.94%
優勢 -1.67%
Kelly -12.13%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.16

博彩公司預測分布
81.17%84.50%84.27%86.42%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.081.121.121.1692.59%89.11%89.29%86.21%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Talia Gibson (客隊)

預測 15.47%6.47公平賠率
EV +8.26%
優勢 +1.18%
Kelly +1.38%
成長率 +0.114%

假設最高賠率為 7.00

博彩公司預測分布
13.58%15.50%15.73%18.83%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
5.006.076.007.0020.00%16.47%16.67%14.29%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Aryna Sabalenka (主隊):84.53%;Talia Gibson (客隊):15.47%。 對於「Talia Gibson (客隊)」,該估計相當於6.47的公平十進位賠率。 當時有12家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為7.00,對應+8.26%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (63 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼利潤率更新時間
Winamax (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +8.26%E +1.18%K +1.38%G +0.114%3.6%2026-08-16 08:20
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.01%E -6.38%K -70.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +8.26%E +1.18%K +1.38%G +0.114%5.2%2026-08-16 19:05
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.01%E -6.38%K -70.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +8.26%E +1.18%K +1.38%G +0.114%5.2%2026-08-16 18:49
Sky Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.01%E -6.38%K -70.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +8.26%E +1.18%K +1.38%G +0.114%5.2%2026-08-16 18:49
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.07%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV +6.72%E +0.973%K +1.14%G +0.076%4.6%2026-08-16 18:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.07%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +4.40%E +0.651%K +0.765%G +0.034%4.9%2026-08-16 08:19
1xBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV +1.15%E +0.176%K +0.207%G +0.002%4.6%2026-08-16 18:59
Coolbet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.63%E -3.19%K -25.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +0.530%E +0.082%K +0.096%G +0.001%3.1%2026-08-16 19:00
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +0.530%E +0.082%K +0.096%G +0.001%4.7%2026-08-16 19:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.530%E +0.082%K +0.096%G +0.001%5.5%2026-08-16 18:49
Pinnacle🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 85.06%EV -3.63%E -3.19%K -25.94%G +0.000%6.49I 15.41%NM 14.94%EV +0.375%E +0.058%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-16 18:40
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.28%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%6.49I 15.41%NM 14.72%EV +0.375%E +0.058%K +0.068%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -1.02%E -0.159%K -0.188%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 19:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -1.02%E -0.159%K -0.188%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 19:45
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.02%E -0.159%K -0.188%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 19:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.07%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -1.02%E -0.159%K -0.188%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 19:04
BetUS🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.97%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%6.33I 15.80%NM 15.03%EV -2.10%E -0.332%K -0.394%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.07%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -3.34%E -0.534%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 19:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -4.11%E -0.663%K -0.790%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 07:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.66%E -0.927%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 06:24
Fliff🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.96%EV -8.70%E -8.06%K -108.79%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.04%EV -5.66%E -0.927%K -1.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 19:05
GTbets🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -6.43%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 16:35
Unibet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 10:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 10:19
BetRivers🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 10:19
Casumo🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 10:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 14:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 10:19
Grosvenor🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 10:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 10:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 10:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 10:15
TABtouch🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 10:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 10:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 10:19
Bally Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 10:20
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 10:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 10:19
888sport🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 06:24
betfred_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 10:44
BetAnything🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 12:44
William Hill🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 06:24
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 11:39
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 06:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 06:24
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 19:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 06:20
TAB🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 18:49
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.01%E -6.38%K -70.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 18:49
BetMGM🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:29
Coral🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 10:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 10:19
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -11.84%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 19:04
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -11.84%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 19:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.82%EV -7.01%E -6.38%K -70.13%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.18%EV -11.84%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 07:04
betano_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.94%E -2.72%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 18:50
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.94%E -2.72%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 18:50
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.94%E -2.72%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 19:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -18.80%E -3.58%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 19:03
Neds🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -2.79%E -2.42%K -18.57%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -19.58%E -3.76%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -2.79%E -2.42%K -18.57%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -19.58%E -3.76%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 10:29
PlayUp🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -1.94%E -1.67%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -22.67%E -4.53%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 15:20
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%0.5%2026-08-16 19:05
ProphetX◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.49%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.51%1.2%2026-08-16 19:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.35%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65%1.3%2026-08-16 19:00
Matchbook◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.35%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65%1.3%2026-08-16 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.35%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65%1.3%2026-08-16 19:00
Smarkets◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.06%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94%1.7%2026-08-16 18:55
Novig◎1.13I 88.50%NM 86.34%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.66%2.5%2026-08-16 19:05