语言:简体中文
Aryna Sabalenka v Talia Gibson
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Aryna Sabalenka (主队)
预测 84.53%1.18公平赔率
EV -1.94%
优势 -1.67%
Kelly -12.13%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.16
博彩公司预测分布
81.17%84.50%84.27%86.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.081.121.121.1692.59%89.11%89.29%86.21%最小值均值中位数最大值
Talia Gibson (客队)
预测 15.47%6.47公平赔率
EV +8.26%
优势 +1.18%
Kelly +1.38%
增长率 +0.114%
假设最高赔率为 7.00
博彩公司预测分布
13.58%15.50%15.73%18.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.006.076.007.0020.00%16.47%16.67%14.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Aryna Sabalenka (主队)：84.53%；Talia Gibson (客队)：15.47%。 对于“Talia Gibson (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.47。 当时有12家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为7.00，对应+8.26%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +8.26%E +1.18%K +1.38%G +0.114% | 3.6% | 2026-08-16 08:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.01%E -6.38%K -70.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +8.26%E +1.18%K +1.38%G +0.114% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.01%E -6.38%K -70.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +8.26%E +1.18%K +1.38%G +0.114% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.01%E -6.38%K -70.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +8.26%E +1.18%K +1.38%G +0.114% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.07%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV +6.72%E +0.973%K +1.14%G +0.076% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 18:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.07%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +4.40%E +0.651%K +0.765%G +0.034% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 08:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV +1.15%E +0.176%K +0.207%G +0.002% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 18:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.63%E -3.19%K -25.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +0.530%E +0.082%K +0.096%G +0.001% | 3.1% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +0.530%E +0.082%K +0.096%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 19:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.530%E +0.082%K +0.096%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.06%EV -3.63%E -3.19%K -25.94%G +0.000% | 6.49I 15.41%NM 14.94%EV +0.375%E +0.058%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-16 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.28%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 6.49I 15.41%NM 14.72%EV +0.375%E +0.058%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -1.02%E -0.159%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 19:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -1.02%E -0.159%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 19:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.02%E -0.159%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.07%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -1.02%E -0.159%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.97%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 6.33I 15.80%NM 15.03%EV -2.10%E -0.332%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 18:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.07%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -3.34%E -0.534%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -4.11%E -0.663%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 07:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.66%E -0.927%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 06:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.96%EV -8.70%E -8.06%K -108.79%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.04%EV -5.66%E -0.927%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -6.43%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 16:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 10:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 14:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 10:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 10:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 10:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 06:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 10:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 12:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 06:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 11:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 06:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 06:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 06:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.01%E -6.38%K -70.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 10:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.07%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -11.84%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -11.84%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.82%EV -7.01%E -6.38%K -70.13%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.18%EV -11.84%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 07:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.94%E -2.72%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 18:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.94%E -2.72%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 18:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.94%E -2.72%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -18.80%E -3.58%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 19:03 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -2.79%E -2.42%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -19.58%E -3.76%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -2.79%E -2.42%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -19.58%E -3.76%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 10:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -1.94%E -1.67%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -22.67%E -4.53%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 15:20 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.49% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.51% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.35% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65% | 1.3% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.35% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65% | 1.3% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.35% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65% | 1.3% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.06% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94% | 1.7% | 2026-08-16 18:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.34% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.66% | 2.5% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |