Langue:Français
Aryna Sabalenka v Talia Gibson
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Prévision 84.53%1.18cote équitable
EV -1.94%
Avantage -1.67%
Kelly -12.13%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.16
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
81.17%84.50%84.27%86.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.081.121.121.1692.59%89.11%89.29%86.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Talia Gibson (Visiteur)
Prévision 15.47%6.47cote équitable
EV +8.26%
Avantage +1.18%
Kelly +1.38%
Croissance +0.114%
avec la cote maximale 7.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.58%15.50%15.73%18.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.006.076.007.0020.00%16.47%16.67%14.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Aryna Sabalenka (Local) : 84.53% ; Talia Gibson (Visiteur) : 15.47%. Pour Talia Gibson (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.47. 12 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 7.00, soit une espérance positive de +8.26%.
Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +8.26%E +1.18%K +1.38%G +0.114% | 3.6% | 2026-08-16 08:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.01%E -6.38%K -70.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +8.26%E +1.18%K +1.38%G +0.114% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.01%E -6.38%K -70.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +8.26%E +1.18%K +1.38%G +0.114% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.01%E -6.38%K -70.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +8.26%E +1.18%K +1.38%G +0.114% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.07%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV +6.72%E +0.973%K +1.14%G +0.076% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 18:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.07%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +4.40%E +0.651%K +0.765%G +0.034% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 08:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV +1.15%E +0.176%K +0.207%G +0.002% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 18:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.63%E -3.19%K -25.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +0.530%E +0.082%K +0.096%G +0.001% | 3.1% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +0.530%E +0.082%K +0.096%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 19:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.530%E +0.082%K +0.096%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.06%EV -3.63%E -3.19%K -25.94%G +0.000% | 6.49I 15.41%NM 14.94%EV +0.375%E +0.058%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-16 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.28%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 6.49I 15.41%NM 14.72%EV +0.375%E +0.058%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -1.02%E -0.159%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 19:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -1.02%E -0.159%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 19:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.02%E -0.159%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.07%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -1.02%E -0.159%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.97%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 6.33I 15.80%NM 15.03%EV -2.10%E -0.332%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 18:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.07%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -3.34%E -0.534%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -4.11%E -0.663%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 07:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.66%E -0.927%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 06:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.96%EV -8.70%E -8.06%K -108.79%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.04%EV -5.66%E -0.927%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -6.43%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 16:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 10:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 14:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 10:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 10:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 10:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 06:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 10:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 12:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 06:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 11:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 06:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 06:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 06:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.01%E -6.38%K -70.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 10:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.07%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -11.84%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -11.84%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.82%EV -7.01%E -6.38%K -70.13%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.18%EV -11.84%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 07:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.94%E -2.72%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 18:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.94%E -2.72%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 18:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.94%E -2.72%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -18.80%E -3.58%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 19:03 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -2.79%E -2.42%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -19.58%E -3.76%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -2.79%E -2.42%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -19.58%E -3.76%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 10:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -1.94%E -1.67%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -22.67%E -4.53%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 15:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.49% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.51% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.35% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65% | 1.3% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.35% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65% | 1.3% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.35% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65% | 1.3% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.06% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94% | 1.7% | 2026-08-16 18:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.34% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.66% | 2.5% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |