StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Aryna Sabalenka v Talia Gibson

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-16 19:09 UTC

Endstand: Aryna Sabalenka 2–0 Talia Gibson

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Aryna Sabalenka (Heim)

Prognose 84.53%1.18faire Quote
EV -1.94%
Vorteil -1.67%
Kelly -12.13%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.16

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
81.17%84.50%84.27%86.42%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.081.121.121.1692.59%89.11%89.29%86.21%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Talia Gibson (Auswärts)

Prognose 15.47%6.47faire Quote
EV +8.26%
Vorteil +1.18%
Kelly +1.38%
Wachstum +0.114%

bei einer Höchstquote von 7.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
13.58%15.50%15.73%18.83%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
5.006.076.007.0020.00%16.47%16.67%14.29%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Aryna Sabalenka (Heim): 84.53%; Talia Gibson (Auswärts): 15.47%. Für Talia Gibson (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 6.47. 12 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 7.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +8.26%.

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Winamax (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +8.26%E +1.18%K +1.38%G +0.114%3.6%2026-08-16 08:20
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.01%E -6.38%K -70.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +8.26%E +1.18%K +1.38%G +0.114%5.2%2026-08-16 19:05
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.01%E -6.38%K -70.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +8.26%E +1.18%K +1.38%G +0.114%5.2%2026-08-16 18:49
Sky Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.01%E -6.38%K -70.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +8.26%E +1.18%K +1.38%G +0.114%5.2%2026-08-16 18:49
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.07%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV +6.72%E +0.973%K +1.14%G +0.076%4.6%2026-08-16 18:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.07%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +4.40%E +0.651%K +0.765%G +0.034%4.9%2026-08-16 08:19
1xBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV +1.15%E +0.176%K +0.207%G +0.002%4.6%2026-08-16 18:59
Coolbet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.63%E -3.19%K -25.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +0.530%E +0.082%K +0.096%G +0.001%3.1%2026-08-16 19:00
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +0.530%E +0.082%K +0.096%G +0.001%4.7%2026-08-16 19:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.530%E +0.082%K +0.096%G +0.001%5.5%2026-08-16 18:49
Pinnacle🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 85.06%EV -3.63%E -3.19%K -25.94%G +0.000%6.49I 15.41%NM 14.94%EV +0.375%E +0.058%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-16 18:40
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.28%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%6.49I 15.41%NM 14.72%EV +0.375%E +0.058%K +0.068%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -1.02%E -0.159%K -0.188%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 19:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -1.02%E -0.159%K -0.188%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 19:45
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.02%E -0.159%K -0.188%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 19:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.07%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -1.02%E -0.159%K -0.188%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 19:04
BetUS🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.97%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%6.33I 15.80%NM 15.03%EV -2.10%E -0.332%K -0.394%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.07%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -3.34%E -0.534%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 19:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -4.11%E -0.663%K -0.790%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 07:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.66%E -0.927%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 06:24
Fliff🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.96%EV -8.70%E -8.06%K -108.79%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.04%EV -5.66%E -0.927%K -1.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 19:05
GTbets🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -6.43%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 16:35
Unibet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 10:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 10:19
BetRivers🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 10:19
Casumo🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 10:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 14:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 10:19
Grosvenor🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 10:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 10:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 10:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 10:15
TABtouch🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 10:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 10:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 10:19
Bally Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 10:20
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 10:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 10:19
888sport🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 06:24
betfred_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 10:44
BetAnything🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 12:44
William Hill🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 06:24
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 11:39
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 06:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 06:24
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 19:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 06:20
TAB🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 18:49
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.01%E -6.38%K -70.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 18:49
BetMGM🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:29
Coral🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 10:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 10:19
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -11.84%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 19:04
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -11.84%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 19:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.82%EV -7.01%E -6.38%K -70.13%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.18%EV -11.84%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 07:04
betano_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.94%E -2.72%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 18:50
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.94%E -2.72%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 18:50
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.94%E -2.72%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 19:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -18.80%E -3.58%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 19:03
Neds🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -2.79%E -2.42%K -18.57%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -19.58%E -3.76%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -2.79%E -2.42%K -18.57%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -19.58%E -3.76%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 10:29
PlayUp🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -1.94%E -1.67%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -22.67%E -4.53%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 15:20
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%0.5%2026-08-16 19:05
ProphetX◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.49%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.51%1.2%2026-08-16 19:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.35%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65%1.3%2026-08-16 19:00
Matchbook◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.35%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65%1.3%2026-08-16 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.35%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65%1.3%2026-08-16 19:00
Smarkets◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.06%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94%1.7%2026-08-16 18:55
Novig◎1.13I 88.50%NM 86.34%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.66%2.5%2026-08-16 19:05