Language:English
Karolina Muchova v Naomi Osaka
Head to Head
Karolina Muchova (Local)
Prediction 57.12%1.75fair odd
EV -4.60%
Edge -2.76%
Kelly -6.87%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.00%57.05%57.11%57.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.651.651.6763.69%60.66%60.61%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Naomi Osaka (Visit)
Prediction 42.88%2.33fair odd
EV -3.53%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -2.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.31%42.95%42.89%44.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.202.202.2548.78%45.52%45.45%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Karolina Muchova (Local): 57.12%; Naomi Osaka (Visit): 42.88%. For Naomi Osaka (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.33. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.25, with an expected value of -3.53%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.60%E -2.76%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.53%E -1.57%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-04 18:01 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.60%E -2.76%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.82%E -2.17%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 17:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.60%E -2.76%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.82%E -2.17%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 17:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.60%E -2.76%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.82%E -2.17%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 17:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.60%E -2.76%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.67%E -2.58%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 18:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.60%E -2.76%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.67%E -2.58%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 17:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.60%E -2.76%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.67%E -2.58%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 17:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.60%E -2.76%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.67%E -2.58%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 17:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.60%E -2.76%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.67%E -2.58%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 18:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.60%E -2.76%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.67%E -2.58%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.60%E -2.76%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.67%E -2.58%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 18:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.60%E -2.76%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.82%E -3.64%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.60%E -2.76%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.82%E -3.64%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 18:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.17%E -3.12%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.96%E -1.77%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 17:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.17%E -3.12%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.67%E -2.58%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-04 17:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.75%E -3.48%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.53%E -1.57%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 18:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.75%E -3.48%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.53%E -1.57%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 17:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.75%E -3.48%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.39%E -1.97%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.75%E -3.48%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.39%E -1.97%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.75%E -3.48%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.39%E -1.97%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.75%E -3.48%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.39%E -1.97%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.75%E -3.48%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.39%E -1.97%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.75%E -3.48%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.39%E -1.97%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.75%E -3.48%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.39%E -1.97%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.75%E -3.48%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.39%E -1.97%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.75%E -3.48%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.39%E -1.97%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.75%E -3.48%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.39%E -1.97%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.75%E -3.48%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.39%E -1.97%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.75%E -3.48%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.39%E -1.97%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.75%E -3.48%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.39%E -1.97%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.75%E -3.48%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.39%E -1.97%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -5.75%E -3.48%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -4.82%E -2.17%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-04 18:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.75%E -3.48%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.67%E -2.58%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-04 18:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.75%E -3.48%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.67%E -2.58%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-04 18:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.75%E -3.48%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.67%E -2.58%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-04 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.75%E -3.48%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.82%E -3.64%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-04 18:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.75%E -3.48%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.82%E -3.64%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-04 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.75%E -3.48%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.96%E -4.74%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-04 18:11 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -6.32%E -3.85%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -6.96%E -3.21%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-04 17:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.46%E -4.60%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.67%E -2.58%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-04 17:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.46%E -4.60%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.82%E -3.64%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-04 17:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -8.60%E -5.38%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.96%E -4.74%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-04 17:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.47%EV -9.74%E -6.17%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -12.10%E -5.90%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-04 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.47%EV -9.74%E -6.17%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -12.10%E -5.90%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-04 18:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -10.32%E -6.57%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.32%EV -8.25%E -3.85%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 57.70% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.30% | 14.8% | 2026-10-04 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 57.70% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.30% | 14.8% | 2026-10-04 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 57.70% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.30% | 14.8% | 2026-10-04 17:40 |