Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Karolina Muchova v Naomi Osaka

2026-10-06 03:00 UTC — WTA China Open

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Karolina Muchova (Local)

Previsão 57.10%1.75odd justa
EV -4.64%
Vantagem -2.78%
Kelly -6.93%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.28%57.09%57.11%57.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.571.651.651.6763.69%60.68%60.61%59.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Naomi Osaka (Visitante)

Previsão 42.90%2.33odd justa
EV -3.47%
Vantagem -1.54%
Kelly -2.78%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.31%42.91%42.89%43.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.202.202.2548.78%45.52%45.45%44.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Karolina Muchova (Local): 57.10%; Naomi Osaka (Visitante): 42.90%. Para Naomi Osaka (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 2.33. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 2.25, com valor esperado de -3.47%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-04 18:01
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.76%E -2.14%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-04 17:55
Betsson🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.76%E -2.14%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-04 17:55
NordicBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.76%E -2.14%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-04 17:55
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 18:24
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 17:55
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 17:55
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 17:59
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 18:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 18:55
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-04 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-04 18:50
GTbets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.21%E -3.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.90%E -1.74%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-04 17:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.21%E -3.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 17:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 17:50
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 17:00
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 17:00
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 17:00
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 17:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 17:00
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 17:00
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 17:00
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -4.76%E -2.14%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 18:05
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 19:45
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 18:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 18:50
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-04 18:50
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-04 18:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -6.36%E -3.88%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -6.91%E -3.18%K -5.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-04 17:55
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.50%E -4.63%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-04 17:55
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.50%E -4.63%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-04 17:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.50%E -4.63%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-04 19:40
ReBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -8.64%E -5.40%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.91%E -4.72%K -9.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-04 17:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.47%EV -9.78%E -6.19%K -16.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -12.05%E -5.88%K -11.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-04 17:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.47%EV -9.78%E -6.19%K -16.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -12.05%E -5.88%K -11.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-04 18:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -10.35%E -6.59%K -18.16%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.32%EV -8.19%E -3.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-04 17:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 54.79%1.83I 54.64%NM 45.21%20.9%2026-10-04 19:31
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 54.79%1.83I 54.64%NM 45.21%20.9%2026-10-04 19:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 54.79%1.83I 54.64%NM 45.21%20.9%2026-10-04 19:30