StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Karolina Muchova v Naomi Osaka

2026-10-06 03:00 UTC — WTA China Open

Wedstrijduitslag

45 wedaanbieders (12 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Karolina Muchova (Thuis)

Prognose 57.10%1.75margevrije odds
EV -4.64%
Voordeel -2.78%
Kelly -6.93%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 1.67

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
56.28%57.09%57.11%57.69%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.571.651.651.6763.69%60.68%60.61%59.88%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Naomi Osaka (Uit)

Prognose 42.90%2.33margevrije odds
EV -3.47%
Voordeel -1.54%
Kelly -2.78%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 2.25

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
42.31%42.91%42.89%43.72%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
2.052.202.202.2548.78%45.52%45.45%44.44%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Voor Wedstrijduitslag schat Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) de volgende kansen: Karolina Muchova (Thuis): 57.10%; Naomi Osaka (Uit): 42.90%. Voor Naomi Osaka (Uit) komt deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 2.33. Geen enkele geschikte wedaanbieder biedt odds boven dat niveau: de beste beschikbare odds zijn 2.25, met een verwachtingswaarde van -3.47%; ze leveren geen positieve verwachtingswaarde op.

Odds van wedaanbieders (45 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuis ▼UitMargeBijgewerkt
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-04 18:01
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.76%E -2.14%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-04 17:55
Betsson🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.76%E -2.14%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-04 17:55
NordicBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.76%E -2.14%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-04 17:55
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 18:24
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 17:55
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 17:55
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 17:59
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 18:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 18:55
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-04 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-04 18:50
GTbets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.21%E -3.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.90%E -1.74%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-04 17:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.21%E -3.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 17:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 17:50
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 17:00
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 17:00
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 17:00
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 17:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 17:00
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 17:00
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 17:00
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -4.76%E -2.14%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 18:05
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 19:45
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 18:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 18:50
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-04 18:50
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-04 18:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -6.36%E -3.88%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -6.91%E -3.18%K -5.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-04 17:55
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.50%E -4.63%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-04 17:55
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.50%E -4.63%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-04 17:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.50%E -4.63%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-04 19:40
ReBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -8.64%E -5.40%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.91%E -4.72%K -9.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-04 17:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.47%EV -9.78%E -6.19%K -16.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -12.05%E -5.88%K -11.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-04 17:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.47%EV -9.78%E -6.19%K -16.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -12.05%E -5.88%K -11.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-04 18:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -10.35%E -6.59%K -18.16%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.32%EV -8.19%E -3.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-04 17:00
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (3)

WedaanbiederThuisUitMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 54.79%1.83I 54.64%NM 45.21%20.9%2026-10-04 19:31
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 54.79%1.83I 54.64%NM 45.21%20.9%2026-10-04 19:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 54.79%1.83I 54.64%NM 45.21%20.9%2026-10-04 19:30