Idioma:Español
Karolina Muchova v Naomi Osaka
Resultado del partido
Karolina Muchova (Local)
Predicción 57.10%1.75momio equitativo
EV -4.64%
Ventaja -2.78%
Kelly -6.93%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.28%57.09%57.11%57.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.571.651.651.6763.69%60.68%60.61%59.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Naomi Osaka (Visitante)
Predicción 42.90%2.33momio equitativo
EV -3.47%
Ventaja -1.54%
Kelly -2.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.31%42.91%42.89%43.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.202.202.2548.78%45.52%45.45%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Karolina Muchova (Local): 57.10%; Naomi Osaka (Visitante): 42.90%. Para Naomi Osaka (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.33. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.25, con un valor esperado de -3.47%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-04 18:01 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.76%E -2.14%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 17:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.76%E -2.14%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 17:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.76%E -2.14%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 17:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 18:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 17:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 17:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 17:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 18:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 18:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 18:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.21%E -3.14%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.90%E -1.74%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 17:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.21%E -3.14%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-04 17:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 17:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -4.76%E -2.14%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-04 18:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-04 19:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-04 18:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-04 18:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-04 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-04 18:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-04 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -6.36%E -3.88%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -6.91%E -3.18%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-04 17:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.50%E -4.63%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-04 17:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.50%E -4.63%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-04 17:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.50%E -4.63%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-04 19:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -8.64%E -5.40%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.91%E -4.72%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-04 17:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.47%EV -9.78%E -6.19%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -12.05%E -5.88%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-04 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.47%EV -9.78%E -6.19%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -12.05%E -5.88%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-04 18:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -10.35%E -6.59%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.32%EV -8.19%E -3.83%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 54.79% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 45.21% | 20.9% | 2026-10-04 19:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 54.79% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 45.21% | 20.9% | 2026-10-04 19:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 54.79% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 45.21% | 20.9% | 2026-10-04 19:30 |