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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

Karolina Muchova v Naomi Osaka

2026-10-06 03:00 UTC — WTA China Open

胜负盘

45 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Karolina Muchova (主队)

预测 57.10%1.75公平赔率
EV -4.64%
优势 -2.78%
Kelly -6.93%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.67

博彩公司预测分布
56.28%57.09%57.11%57.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.571.651.651.6763.69%60.68%60.61%59.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

Naomi Osaka (客队)

预测 42.90%2.33公平赔率
EV -3.47%
优势 -1.54%
Kelly -2.78%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.25

博彩公司预测分布
42.31%42.91%42.89%43.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.202.202.2548.78%45.52%45.45%44.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Karolina Muchova (主队)：57.10%；Naomi Osaka (客队)：42.90%。 对于“Naomi Osaka (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.33。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为2.25，期望值为-3.47%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (45 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-04 18:01
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.76%E -2.14%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-04 17:55
Betsson🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.76%E -2.14%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-04 17:55
NordicBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.76%E -2.14%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-04 17:55
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 18:24
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 17:55
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 17:55
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 17:59
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 18:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 18:55
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-04 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-04 18:50
GTbets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.21%E -3.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.90%E -1.74%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-04 17:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.21%E -3.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 17:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 17:50
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 17:00
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 17:00
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 17:00
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 17:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 17:00
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 17:00
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 17:00
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -4.76%E -2.14%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 18:05
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 19:45
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 18:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 18:50
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-04 18:50
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-04 18:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -6.36%E -3.88%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -6.91%E -3.18%K -5.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-04 17:55
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.50%E -4.63%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-04 17:55
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.50%E -4.63%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-04 17:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.50%E -4.63%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-04 19:40
ReBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -8.64%E -5.40%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.91%E -4.72%K -9.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-04 17:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.47%EV -9.78%E -6.19%K -16.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -12.05%E -5.88%K -11.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-04 17:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.47%EV -9.78%E -6.19%K -16.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -12.05%E -5.88%K -11.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-04 18:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -10.35%E -6.59%K -18.16%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.32%EV -8.19%E -3.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-04 17:00
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 54.79%1.83I 54.64%NM 45.21%20.9%2026-10-04 19:31
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 54.79%1.83I 54.64%NM 45.21%20.9%2026-10-04 19:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 54.79%1.83I 54.64%NM 45.21%20.9%2026-10-04 19:30